Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
110.238
74.9%
Standard error 4.13 points
▾
252+ Atk Heatran Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 232-273 (57.4 - 67.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
02
Infernape
FireFighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.115
84.4%
Standard error 7.23 points
▾
252+ Atk Expert Belt Infernape Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 441-520 (109.1 - 128.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
03
Swampert
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
52.081
66.3%
Standard error 6.55 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 320-378 (79.2 - 93.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
04
Metagross
SteelPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
65.937
62.9%
Standard error 5.95 points
▾
0- SpA Jirachi Hidden Power Ground vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Metagross: 100-118 (27.4 - 32.4%) -- 63.4% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Jirachi
SteelPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
140.724
48.8%
Standard error 4.21 points
▾
252+ Atk Jirachi Fire Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 150-178 (37.1 - 44%) -- 99.9% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
06
Starmie
WaterPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
76.505
49.2%
Standard error 5.72 points
▾
0- SpA Starmie Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 84-100 (20.7 - 24.7%) -- possible 6HKO
07
Empoleon
WaterSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.382
61.8%
Standard error 10.05 points
▾
0- SpA Jirachi Hidden Power Ground vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Empoleon: 90-108 (24.1 - 29%) -- possible 5HKO
08
Hippowdon
Ground
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.698
60.5%
Standard error 10.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Jirachi Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 76-91 (18 - 21.6%) -- possible 7HKO
09
Flygon
GroundDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
28.351
55.4%
Standard error 9.34 points
▾
252+ Atk Flygon Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 300-354 (74.2 - 87.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
10
Gyarados
WaterFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
88.181
36.8%
Standard error 5.13 points
▾
252+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 234-276 (57.9 - 68.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
11
Rotom-Wash
ElectricWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
45.325
45.7%
Standard error 7.40 points
▾
252+ SpA Rotom-Wash Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 106-126 (26.2 - 31.1%) -- 9.4% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
12
Donphan
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.118
54.6%
Standard error 9.74 points
▾
252+ Atk Donphan Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 338-402 (83.6 - 99.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
13
Latias
DragonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
172.394
28.3%
Standard error 3.43 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Latias Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 120-142 (29.7 - 35.1%) -- guaranteed 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
14
Scizor
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
74.51
25.6%
Standard error 5.05 points
▾
252+ Atk Technician Scizor Bug Bite vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 162-192 (40 - 47.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
15
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
56.109
27.7%
Standard error 5.98 points
▾
Clefable Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Jirachi: 100-100 (24.7 - 24.7%) -- guaranteed 6HKO after Leftovers recovery
16
Tyranitar
RockDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
145.503
15.3%
Standard error 2.98 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Tyranitar Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 366-432 (90.5 - 106.9%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO
17
Lucario
FightingSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.537
29.8%
Standard error 9.63 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Lucario Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 248-294 (61.3 - 72.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
Ranked #3 with 41.10% usage. Sorted by conservative score.