Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
114.901
76.5%
Standard error 6.61 points
▾
252+ Atk Heatran Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 232-273 (57.4 - 67.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
02
Metagross
SteelPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
75.747
63.5%
Standard error 9.56 points
▾
252+ Atk Jirachi Fire Punch vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Metagross: 90-108 (24.7 - 29.6%) -- 0.1% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
03
Jirachi
SteelPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
156.703
47.7%
Standard error 6.82 points
▾
252+ Atk Jirachi Fire Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 150-178 (37.1 - 44%) -- 99.9% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
04
Swampert
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
30.907
55.3%
Standard error 8.94 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 320-378 (79.2 - 93.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Hippowdon
Ground
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.698
60.5%
Standard error 10.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Jirachi Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Hippowdon: 76-91 (18 - 21.6%) -- possible 7HKO
06
Flygon
GroundDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
92.279
53.9%
Standard error 8.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Flygon Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 300-354 (74.2 - 87.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
07
Donphan
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
46.441
53.0%
Standard error 10.33 points
▾
252+ Atk Donphan Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 338-402 (83.6 - 99.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
08
Latias
DragonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
177.451
31.7%
Standard error 5.92 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Latias Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 120-142 (29.7 - 35.1%) -- guaranteed 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
09
Rotom-Heat
ElectricFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.167
51.4%
Standard error 10.86 points
▾
252+ SpA Rotom-Heat Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 208-246 (51.4 - 60.8%) -- 92.6% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
10
Starmie
WaterPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
48.698
44.0%
Standard error 10.03 points
▾
0- SpA Starmie Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 84-100 (20.7 - 24.7%) -- possible 6HKO
11
Rotom-Wash
ElectricWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
24.414
43.5%
Standard error 10.03 points
▾
252+ SpA Rotom-Wash Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 106-126 (26.2 - 31.1%) -- 9.4% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
12
Gyarados
WaterFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
89.306
38.1%
Standard error 8.86 points
▾
252+ Atk Gyarados Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 234-276 (57.9 - 68.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
13
Tyranitar
RockDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
140.988
20.1%
Standard error 5.77 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Tyranitar Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 366-432 (90.5 - 106.9%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO
14
Gengar
GhostPoison
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.104
38.5%
Standard error 10.59 points
▾
0- Atk Gengar Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 113-133 (27.9 - 32.9%) -- 85.7% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
15
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
62.825
26.3%
Standard error 7.83 points
▾
Clefable Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Jirachi: 100-100 (24.7 - 24.7%) -- guaranteed 6HKO after Leftovers recovery
16
Scizor
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
78.657
27.0%
Standard error 8.42 points
▾
252+ Atk Technician Scizor Bug Bite vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 162-192 (40 - 47.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
17
Skarmory
SteelFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.021
27.6%
Standard error 9.53 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Jirachi: 78-92 (19.3 - 22.7%) -- possible 6HKO
Ranked #3 with 41.86% usage. Sorted by conservative score.