Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Thundurus-Therian
ElectricFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
72.774
85.0%
Standard error 5.91 points
▾
252+ SpA Thundurus-Therian Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 204-240 (57.9 - 68.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
02
Dragonite
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.545
78.0%
Standard error 8.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Fire Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 292-348 (82.9 - 98.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
03
Alakazam
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
29.525
76.4%
Standard error 7.81 points
▾
252+ SpA Alakazam Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 224-268 (63.6 - 76.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
04
Reuniclus
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.382
78.9%
Standard error 9.03 points
▾
252+ SpA Reuniclus Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 182-216 (51.7 - 61.3%) -- 95.7% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Forretress
BugSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
30.049
69.8%
Standard error 8.37 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Explosion vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Forretress: 68-80 (19.2 - 22.5%) -- possible 6HKO
06
Keldeo
WaterFighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
42.223
65.1%
Standard error 7.33 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Keldeo Secret Sword vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 360-426 (102.2 - 121%) -- guaranteed OHKO
07
Excadrill
GroundSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
32.248
56.8%
Standard error 8.72 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 147-174 (41.7 - 49.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
08
Skarmory
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.076
62.2%
Standard error 10.09 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Explosion vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Skarmory: 68-80 (20.3 - 23.9%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
09
Garchomp
DragonGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
24.72
60.1%
Standard error 9.85 points
▾
0- SpA Garchomp Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 168-200 (47.7 - 56.8%) -- 33.2% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
10
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
118.75
46.0%
Standard error 6.34 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 94-111 (26.7 - 31.5%) -- 26.4% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
11
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
110.313
52.7%
Standard error 8.06 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 248-292 (70.4 - 82.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
12
Scizor
BugSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.171
56.1%
Standard error 9.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Scizor Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 340-402 (96.5 - 114.2%) -- 81.3% chance to OHKO
13
Latios
DragonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
190.592
35.3%
Standard error 5.71 points
▾
252+ SpA Latios Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 220-260 (62.5 - 73.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
14
Abomasnow
GrassIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.348
48.6%
Standard error 10.34 points
▾
252+ SpA Abomasnow Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 176-208 (50 - 59%) -- 67.2% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
15
Tyranitar
RockDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
53.228
41.1%
Standard error 9.52 points
▾
252+ Atk Tyranitar Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 234-276 (66.4 - 78.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
16
Politoed
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
40.109
30.0%
Standard error 7.24 points
▾
252+ SpA Politoed Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn in Rain: 81-96 (23 - 27.2%) -- possible 5HKO
17
Jirachi
SteelPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
31.254
34.4%
Standard error 8.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Jirachi Ice Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 60-71 (17 - 20.1%) -- possible 7HKO
18
Starmie
WaterPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.56
23.8%
Standard error 6.16 points
▾
0- SpA Starmie Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 40-48 (11.3 - 13.6%)
19
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.179
41.6%
Standard error 10.97 points
▾
Clefable Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Ferrothorn: 100-100 (28.4 - 28.4%) -- guaranteed 5HKO after Leftovers recovery
20
Rotom-Wash
ElectricWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.58
21.7%
Standard error 8.48 points
▾
252+ SpA Rotom-Wash Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 188-224 (53.4 - 63.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
Ranked #2 with 34.42% usage. Sorted by conservative score.