Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Kingambit
DarkSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
70.824
91.4%
Standard error 4.60 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kingambit: 63-75 (15.5 - 18.5%) -- possible 6HKO
02
Volcarona
BugFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.38
88.7%
Standard error 6.85 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Bug Buzz vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cresselia: 212-252 (47.7 - 56.7%) -- 85.9% chance to 2HKO
03
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
47.544
87.1%
Standard error 6.69 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor-Mega U-turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 258-306 (58.1 - 68.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
62.634
80.0%
Standard error 6.70 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cresselia: 186-222 (41.8 - 50%) -- 0.4% chance to 2HKO
05
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.408
78.4%
Standard error 9.11 points
▾
0- Atk Tornadus-Therian Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 116-138 (26.1 - 31%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
06
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.708
72.6%
Standard error 8.80 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 225-265 (50.6 - 59.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Melmetal
Steel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
63
60.7%
Standard error 8.56 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Melmetal: 37-44 (7.8 - 9.2%)
08
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.099
68.0%
Standard error 10.41 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Vessel of Ruin Ting-Lu: 100-118 (19.4 - 22.9%) -- possible 6HKO
09
Toxapex
PoisonWater
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.806
66.6%
Standard error 10.10 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 22-26 (7.2 - 8.5%)
10
Kyurem
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.974
67.0%
Standard error 10.27 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyurem Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cresselia: 103-123 (23.1 - 27.7%) -- 73.7% chance to 4HKO
11
Terapagos
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
30.681
59.5%
Standard error 8.86 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Terapagos: 63-75 (16.4 - 19.5%) -- possible 6HKO
12
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
77.086
49.7%
Standard error 7.70 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 172-204 (38.7 - 45.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
13
Dragonite
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.055
56.8%
Standard error 10.55 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Outrage vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 204-240 (45.9 - 54%) -- 48.4% chance to 2HKO
14
Garchomp
DragonGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
41.774
56.1%
Standard error 10.66 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Outrage vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 199-235 (44.8 - 52.9%) -- 27.3% chance to 2HKO
15
Zamazenta
Fighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
70.402
42.6%
Standard error 8.26 points
▾
252+ Atk Zamazenta Crunch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 168-198 (37.8 - 44.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
16
Iron Treads
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.579
50.5%
Standard error 10.30 points
▾
252+ Atk Iron Treads Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 192-228 (43.2 - 51.3%) -- 6.6% chance to 2HKO
17
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
66.826
41.0%
Standard error 8.44 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 148-176 (33.3 - 39.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
18
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.597
41.6%
Standard error 10.61 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cresselia: 109-129 (24.5 - 29%) -- 99.5% chance to 4HKO
19
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.565
27.6%
Standard error 8.37 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 299-352 (67.3 - 79.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
20
Great Tusk
GroundFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
67.835
17.5%
Standard error 6.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Head Smash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cresselia: 167-197 (37.6 - 44.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
Ranked #53 with 3.01% usage. Sorted by conservative score.