Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Suicune
Water
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
131.904
80.1%
Standard error 3.48 points
▾
252+ Atk Tyranitar Focus Punch vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Suicune: 120-142 (29.7 - 35.1%) -- 17.9% chance to 3HKO after sandstorm damage and Leftovers recovery
02
Dugtrio
Ground
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
69.543
78.7%
Standard error 4.91 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Dugtrio Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 358-422 (88.6 - 104.4%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO
03
Heracross
BugFighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.832
86.8%
Standard error 7.08 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Heracross Focus Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 1448-1704 (358.4 - 421.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
04
Swampert
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
321.994
67.4%
Standard error 2.61 points
▾
252+ SpA Swampert Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 234-276 (57.9 - 68.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Metagross
SteelPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
175.369
70.4%
Standard error 3.45 points
▾
0- SpA Tyranitar Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Metagross: 163-192 (44.7 - 52.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
06
Milotic
Water
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
50.265
73.9%
Standard error 6.20 points
▾
252+ Atk Tyranitar Focus Punch vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Milotic: 154-182 (39 - 46.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after sandstorm damage and Leftovers recovery
07
Starmie
WaterPsychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
84.625
61.1%
Standard error 5.30 points
▾
252+ SpA Starmie Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 260-306 (64.3 - 75.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
08
Salamence
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
222.361
52.3%
Standard error 3.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Salamence Brick Break vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 343-404 (84.9 - 100%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO
09
Tyranitar
RockDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
250.387
45.2%
Standard error 3.15 points
▾
252+ Atk Tyranitar Focus Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 680-800 (168.3 - 198%) -- guaranteed OHKO
10
Flygon
GroundDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
26.923
65.7%
Standard error 9.15 points
▾
252+ Atk Flygon Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 277-326 (68.5 - 80.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
11
Claydol
GroundPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
83.989
50.4%
Standard error 5.46 points
▾
252+ Atk Claydol Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 221-260 (54.7 - 64.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
12
Aerodactyl
RockFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
83.796
48.4%
Standard error 5.46 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Aerodactyl Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 285-336 (70.5 - 83.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
13
Snorlax
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
53.809
48.1%
Standard error 6.81 points
▾
0- Atk Snorlax Focus Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 391-460 (96.7 - 113.8%) -- 81.3% chance to OHKO
14
Jirachi
SteelPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
116.932
33.7%
Standard error 4.37 points
▾
0- SpA Jirachi Hidden Power Grass vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 68-80 (16.8 - 19.8%) -- possible 7HKO
15
Gengar
GhostPoison
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
88.137
35.8%
Standard error 5.11 points
▾
252+ SpA Gengar Hidden Power Grass vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 122-144 (30.1 - 35.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
16
Zapdos
ElectricFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
171.205
28.4%
Standard error 3.45 points
▾
252+ SpA Zapdos Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 120-142 (29.7 - 35.1%) -- guaranteed 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
17
Celebi
PsychicGrass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.843
35.1%
Standard error 5.31 points
▾
252+ SpA Celebi Hidden Power Grass vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 153-180 (37.8 - 44.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
18
Skarmory
SteelFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
196.515
25.6%
Standard error 3.11 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Hidden Power Steel vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 170-200 (42 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
19
Registeel
Steel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
59.71
33.6%
Standard error 6.11 points
▾
252+ Atk Registeel Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 370-436 (91.5 - 107.9%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
20
Blissey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
277.872
17.0%
Standard error 2.26 points
▾
Blissey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Tyranitar: 100-100 (24.7 - 24.7%) -- guaranteed 6HKO after Leftovers recovery
21
Moltres
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
27.117
41.5%
Standard error 9.46 points
▾
252+ SpA Moltres Hidden Power Grass vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 119-140 (29.4 - 34.6%) -- 99.9% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
22
Raikou
Electric
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
27.135
36.1%
Standard error 9.22 points
▾
252+ SpA Raikou Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar: 113-133 (27.9 - 32.9%) -- 83.4% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
23
Forretress
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
73.683
14.7%
Standard error 4.12 points
▾
252+ Atk Forretress Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tyranitar: 214-252 (52.9 - 62.3%) -- 99.6% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
Ranked #1 with 61.63% usage. Sorted by conservative score.