Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Volcanion
FireWater
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.267
68.5%
Standard error 10.07 points
▾
252+ Atk Metagross-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Volcanion: 166-196 (45.6 - 53.8%) -- 46.9% chance to 2HKO
02
Excadrill
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
91.2
51.3%
Standard error 8.80 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 260-308 (71.4 - 84.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Skarmory
SteelFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.725
47.9%
Standard error 9.66 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 54-65 (14.8 - 17.8%) -- possible 6HKO
04
Metagross-Mega
SteelPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.2
50.0%
Standard error 10.86 points
▾
252+ Atk Metagross-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 182-216 (50 - 59.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
05
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.621
48.2%
Standard error 11.00 points
▾
252+ Atk Technician Scizor-Mega Bug Bite vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 127-150 (34.8 - 41.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
06
Zapdos
ElectricFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
32.038
35.5%
Standard error 8.45 points
▾
252+ SpA Zapdos Heat Wave vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Metagross-Mega: 150-178 (41.2 - 48.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
07
Garchomp
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.725
34.7%
Standard error 8.88 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 254-300 (69.7 - 82.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
08
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.752
31.1%
Standard error 8.63 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 272-324 (74.7 - 89%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
57.749
9.6%
Standard error 3.87 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Flamethrower vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Metagross-Mega: 118-140 (32.4 - 38.4%) -- 98.1% chance to 3HKO
10
Lopunny-Mega
NormalFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.192
35.4%
Standard error 10.39 points
▾
252+ Atk Lopunny-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 169-201 (46.4 - 55.2%) -- 67.6% chance to 2HKO
11
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.499
28.3%
Standard error 8.76 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Knock Off vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 90-106 (24.7 - 29.1%) -- 99.9% chance to 4HKO
12
Weavile
DarkIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
25.139
7.0%
Standard error 5.09 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Weavile Knock Off vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 234-276 (64.2 - 75.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.299
23.2%
Standard error 9.37 points
▾
252+ Atk Tornadus-Therian Knock Off vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Metagross-Mega: 92-110 (25.2 - 30.2%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
14
Keldeo
WaterFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.811
18.3%
Standard error 8.47 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Keldeo Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Metagross-Mega: 217-256 (59.6 - 70.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #18 with 13.12% usage. Sorted by conservative score.