Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Talonflame
FireFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
56.751
83.0%
Standard error 7.05 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Gale Wings Talonflame Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 492-578 (138.9 - 163.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Venusaur-Mega
GrassPoison
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.25
84.4%
Standard error 7.68 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Dragon Pulse vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Venusaur-Mega: 45-54 (12.3 - 14.8%) -- possible 7HKO
03
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
101.371
77.0%
Standard error 7.05 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 270-318 (76.2 - 89.8%) -- 12.5% chance to OHKO after trapping damage
04
Weavile
DarkIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
33.668
77.5%
Standard error 7.20 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Weavile Icicle Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 452-534 (127.6 - 150.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
05
Lopunny-Mega
NormalFighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
53.822
72.7%
Standard error 8.56 points
▾
252+ Atk Lopunny-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 253-298 (71.4 - 84.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Amoonguss
GrassPoison
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
26.295
69.3%
Standard error 8.99 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Amoonguss: 84-100 (19.4 - 23.1%) -- possible 6HKO
07
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
109.591
51.4%
Standard error 6.72 points
▾
0- SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 174-206 (49.1 - 58.1%) -- 98.4% chance to 2HKO
08
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
26.72
58.7%
Standard error 9.53 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 132-156 (37.5 - 44.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
09
Volcanion
FireWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.091
52.6%
Standard error 9.78 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcanion Flamethrower vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 240-284 (67.7 - 80.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
10
Serperior
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
71.291
49.6%
Standard error 10.25 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 76-90 (21.4 - 25.4%) -- 0.2% chance to 4HKO
11
Thundurus
ElectricFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
46.731
45.0%
Standard error 9.55 points
▾
0- Atk Thundurus U-turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 108-128 (30.5 - 36.1%) -- 47.7% chance to 3HKO
12
Excadrill
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
117.739
28.0%
Standard error 6.87 points
▾
252+ Atk Mold Breaker Excadrill Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 154-183 (43.5 - 51.6%) -- 9.4% chance to 2HKO
13
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
87.658
33.0%
Standard error 8.64 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Flamethrower vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 130-154 (36.7 - 43.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
14
Rotom-Wash
ElectricWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
62.562
2.0%
Standard error 2.19 points
▾
252+ SpA Rotom-Wash Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 92-110 (25.9 - 31%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
15
Keldeo
WaterFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
91.148
11.2%
Standard error 4.65 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Keldeo Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 238-282 (67.2 - 79.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
16
Garchomp
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.549
6.6%
Standard error 4.65 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Outrage vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 225-265 (63.5 - 74.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
17
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.041
4.3%
Standard error 4.24 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 338-398 (95.4 - 112.4%) -- 75% chance to OHKO
18
Manaphy
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
68.853
20.0%
Standard error 8.29 points
▾
252+ SpA Manaphy Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 136-160 (38.4 - 45.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
Ranked #2 with 23.35% usage. Sorted by conservative score.