Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Serperior
Grass
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
29.784
89.9%
Standard error 5.51 points
▾
0- Atk Diancie-Mega Diamond Storm vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 153-180 (43.2 - 50.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
02
Jirachi
SteelPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.943
87.8%
Standard error 6.68 points
▾
252+ SpA Diancie-Mega Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 182-216 (45 - 53.4%) -- 0.4% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
03
Greninja
WaterDark
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
120.632
77.3%
Standard error 6.51 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Diancie-Mega: 338-402 (111.1 - 132.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
04
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
84.094
76.5%
Standard error 7.95 points
▾
252+ SpA Diancie-Mega Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 220-260 (62.5 - 73.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Chansey
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
28.431
71.5%
Standard error 8.47 points
▾
0- Atk Diancie-Mega Diamond Storm vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Chansey: 498-586 (70.7 - 83.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Excadrill
GroundSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
30.769
65.0%
Standard error 8.60 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Diancie-Mega: 544-648 (178.9 - 213.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
07
Toxapex
PoisonWater
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
94.828
62.7%
Standard error 8.56 points
▾
252+ SpA Diancie-Mega Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 142-168 (46.7 - 55.2%) -- 11.7% chance to 2HKO after Black Sludge recovery
08
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
166.89
54.8%
Standard error 6.62 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Diancie-Mega: 360-426 (118.4 - 140.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
09
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
47.485
60.5%
Standard error 10.02 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Diancie-Mega in Electric Terrain: 172-203 (56.5 - 66.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
10
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
109.515
51.0%
Standard error 8.17 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Diancie-Mega: 157-186 (51.6 - 61.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
11
Kartana
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.932
40.5%
Standard error 10.03 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Smart Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Diancie-Mega: 600-708 (197.3 - 232.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
83.212
28.1%
Standard error 8.47 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Diancie-Mega: 86-102 (28.2 - 33.5%) -- 0.1% chance to 3HKO
13
Heatran
FireSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.133
17.2%
Standard error 7.39 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Diancie-Mega: 146-174 (48 - 57.2%) -- 91.8% chance to 2HKO
Ranked #28 with 7.00% usage. Sorted by conservative score.