Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
80.002
87.6%
Standard error 5.20 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Magearna in Sun: 356-422 (97.8 - 115.9%) -- 87.5% chance to OHKO
02
Volcarona
BugFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
87.251
87.5%
Standard error 6.09 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Magearna: 180-212 (49.4 - 58.2%) -- 98% chance to 2HKO
03
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
277.793
76.0%
Standard error 4.43 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 356-420 (97.8 - 115.3%) -- 81.3% chance to OHKO
04
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
285.614
72.9%
Standard error 4.49 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Magearna: 158-188 (43.4 - 51.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after trapping damage
05
Charizard-Mega-X
FireDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
59.304
81.2%
Standard error 6.94 points
▾
252+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 498-588 (136.8 - 161.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
06
Excadrill
GroundSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
331.986
70.5%
Standard error 4.31 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 326-386 (89.5 - 106%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO
07
Seismitoad
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
38.884
77.8%
Standard error 6.66 points
▾
0- Atk Seismitoad Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 168-198 (46.1 - 54.3%) -- 49.2% chance to 2HKO
08
Victini
PsychicFire
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
139.428
75.4%
Standard error 6.25 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Victini: 84-99 (20.7 - 24.5%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
09
Jirachi
SteelPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
109.477
72.7%
Standard error 7.27 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 104-124 (25.7 - 30.6%) -- 2% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
10
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
228.728
64.7%
Standard error 5.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 345-406 (94.7 - 111.5%) -- 68.8% chance to OHKO
11
Chansey
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
203.675
64.4%
Standard error 5.76 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Eviolite Chansey: 136-160 (19.3 - 22.7%) -- possible 5HKO
12
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
636.073
47.0%
Standard error 3.40 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 344-408 (94.5 - 112%) -- 68.8% chance to OHKO
13
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
669.637
45.8%
Standard error 3.31 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Magearna: 64-76 (17.5 - 20.8%) -- possible 5HKO
14
Celesteela
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
126.594
58.5%
Standard error 7.51 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Celesteela: 154-182 (38.6 - 45.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
15
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
594.573
41.1%
Standard error 3.48 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Magearna: 109-130 (29.9 - 35.7%) -- 36% chance to 3HKO
16
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
381.665
42.9%
Standard error 4.35 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Magearna: 36-43 (9.8 - 11.8%) -- possible 9HKO
17
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
338.797
43.3%
Standard error 4.59 points
▾
Tapu Koko Nature's Madness vs. 252 HP Magearna: 182-182 (50 - 50%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
18
Cresselia
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
152.588
51.7%
Standard error 6.71 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 44-52 (12 - 14.2%) -- possible 7HKO
19
Garchomp
DragonGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
98.333
56.9%
Standard error 8.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 320-378 (87.9 - 103.8%) -- 25% chance to OHKO
20
Hippowdon
Ground
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
89.027
57.7%
Standard error 8.81 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Hippowdon: 207-244 (49.2 - 58%) -- 60.5% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
21
Manaphy
Water
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
58.178
58.6%
Standard error 9.07 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Manaphy: 169-199 (41.8 - 49.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
22
Dragonite
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
106.116
54.2%
Standard error 8.00 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 218-258 (59.8 - 70.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
23
Serperior
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
260.925
42.6%
Standard error 5.22 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Magearna: 44-54 (12 - 14.8%) -- possible 7HKO
24
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
350.868
39.2%
Standard error 4.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 76-90 (20.8 - 24.7%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
25
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
120.985
51.9%
Standard error 7.74 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor-Mega Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 141-167 (38.7 - 45.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
26
Mawile-Mega
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
126.174
51.0%
Standard error 7.62 points
▾
252+ Atk Huge Power Mawile-Mega Focus Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 274-323 (75.2 - 88.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
27
Slowbro
WaterPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
28.537
56.2%
Standard error 9.29 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Slowbro: 195-229 (49.4 - 58.1%) -- 64.5% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
28
Tyranitar-Mega
RockDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
91.397
54.1%
Standard error 8.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Tyranitar-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 254-300 (69.7 - 82.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
29
Kartana
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
359.5
35.7%
Standard error 4.36 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Smart Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 144-171 (39.5 - 46.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
30
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
218.603
40.5%
Standard error 5.73 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 258-306 (70.8 - 84%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #2 with 38.64% usage. Sorted by conservative score.