Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
260.803
80.2%
Standard error 2.47 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 356-420 (97.8 - 115.3%) -- 81.3% chance to OHKO
02
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
265.994
73.3%
Standard error 2.71 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 236-278 (64.8 - 76.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery and trapping damage
03
Jirachi
SteelPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
81.115
77.8%
Standard error 4.61 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Jirachi: 104-123 (25.7 - 30.4%) -- 1.2% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
04
Charizard-Mega-X
FireDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.752
87.2%
Standard error 7.00 points
▾
252+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 498-588 (136.8 - 161.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
05
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
203.966
67.5%
Standard error 3.28 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 345-406 (94.7 - 111.5%) -- 68.8% chance to OHKO
06
Excadrill
GroundSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
214.852
66.1%
Standard error 3.23 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 326-386 (89.5 - 106%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO
07
Volcarona
BugFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
24.712
83.1%
Standard error 7.53 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 266-314 (73 - 86.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
08
Victini
PsychicFire
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
58.824
74.9%
Standard error 5.65 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Victini: 84-99 (20.7 - 24.5%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
09
Chansey
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
184.895
66.2%
Standard error 3.48 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Eviolite Chansey: 136-160 (19.3 - 22.7%) -- possible 5HKO
10
Cresselia
Psychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
118.567
58.8%
Standard error 4.52 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cresselia: 141-166 (31.7 - 37.3%) -- 0.1% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
11
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.104
77.7%
Standard error 9.28 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna in Sun: 452-534 (124.1 - 146.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
507.73
47.0%
Standard error 2.21 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 95-112 (26 - 30.7%) -- 5% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
13
Gastrodon
WaterGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
101.607
57.5%
Standard error 4.90 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Gastrodon: 190-225 (44.6 - 52.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
14
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
436.457
44.3%
Standard error 2.38 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 344-408 (94.5 - 112%) -- 68.8% chance to OHKO
15
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
451.403
43.6%
Standard error 2.33 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 165-195 (45.3 - 53.5%) -- 1.2% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
16
Celesteela
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
77.37
56.5%
Standard error 5.64 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Celesteela: 154-182 (38.6 - 45.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
17
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
346.159
40.9%
Standard error 2.64 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 54-64 (14.8 - 17.5%) -- possible 9HKO
18
Dragonite
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
79.682
52.4%
Standard error 5.59 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 218-258 (59.8 - 70.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
19
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
317.81
39.8%
Standard error 2.75 points
▾
Tapu Koko Nature's Madness vs. 252 HP Magearna: 182-182 (50 - 50%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
20
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
139.686
43.6%
Standard error 4.20 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Tapu Lele Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna in Psychic Terrain: 143-168 (39.2 - 46.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
21
Hawlucha
FightingFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
71.416
47.0%
Standard error 5.91 points
▾
252+ Atk Hawlucha High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 163-193 (44.7 - 53%) -- 0.4% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
22
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
182.825
36.7%
Standard error 3.56 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 258-306 (70.8 - 84%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
23
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
79.136
44.7%
Standard error 5.59 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor-Mega Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 141-167 (38.7 - 45.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
24
Serperior
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
115.977
40.5%
Standard error 4.56 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 68-80 (18.6 - 21.9%) -- possible 6HKO
25
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
217.94
35.0%
Standard error 3.23 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 140-166 (38.4 - 45.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
26
Mawile-Mega
SteelFairy
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
33.558
55.9%
Standard error 8.57 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 107-127 (35.1 - 41.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
27
Kyurem-Black
DragonIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
153.913
37.0%
Standard error 3.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Kyurem-Black Freeze Shock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 136-161 (37.3 - 44.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
28
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
292.219
31.7%
Standard error 2.72 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 76-90 (20.8 - 24.7%) -- possible 6HKO
29
Kartana
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
234.186
33.1%
Standard error 3.07 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Smart Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Magearna: 144-171 (39.5 - 46.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
30
Latias-Mega
DragonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
243.508
32.5%
Standard error 3.00 points
▾
252+ SpA Latias-Mega Thunder vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Magearna: 91-108 (25 - 29.6%) -- 0.1% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
Ranked #2 with 36.72% usage. Sorted by conservative score.