Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
78.581
60.6%
Standard error 5.51 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha in Sun: 354-416 (198.8 - 233.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Sneasler
FightingPoison
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
118.956
49.8%
Standard error 4.58 points
▾
252+ Atk Sneasler Gunk Shot vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Sinistcha: 108-127 (60.6 - 71.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Incineroar
FireDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
198.044
49.6%
Standard error 4.78 points
▾
252+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Sinistcha: 198-234 (111.2 - 131.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO
04
Basculegion
WaterGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
132.089
49.0%
Standard error 5.92 points
▾
252+ Atk Mystic Water Adaptability Basculegion Wave Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Sinistcha: 78-92 (43.8 - 51.6%) -- 10.9% chance to 2HKO
05
Garchomp
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
92.879
52.5%
Standard error 7.08 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Garchomp Dragon Claw vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Sinistcha: 94-110 (52.8 - 61.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Floette-Mega
Fairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
40.448
55.3%
Standard error 7.82 points
▾
252+ SpA Floette-Mega Light of Ruin vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 124-147 (69.6 - 82.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.704
63.3%
Standard error 9.90 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Gholdengo Make It Rain vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 122-146 (68.5 - 82%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
08
Kingambit
DarkSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
137.331
45.9%
Standard error 5.59 points
▾
252+ Atk Black Glasses Kingambit Kowtow Cleave vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Sinistcha: 188-224 (105.6 - 125.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
09
Whimsicott
GrassFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
49.118
51.3%
Standard error 7.13 points
▾
252+ SpA Whimsicott Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 52-63 (29.2 - 35.3%) -- 15.6% chance to 3HKO
10
Sinistcha
GrassGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
139.189
44.4%
Standard error 5.63 points
▾
252+ SpA Sinistcha Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kasib Berry Sinistcha: 60-72 (33.7 - 40.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
11
Venusaur
GrassPoison
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.243
60.8%
Standard error 10.85 points
▾
252+ SpA Sinistcha Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Venusaur: 52-63 (27.8 - 33.6%) -- 0.2% chance to 3HKO
12
Sylveon
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
31.91
52.2%
Standard error 8.84 points
▾
252+ SpA Fairy Feather Pixilate Sylveon Hyper Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 150-177 (84.2 - 99.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Pelipper
WaterFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
41.293
47.7%
Standard error 7.77 points
▾
252+ SpA Pelipper Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 138-164 (77.5 - 92.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
14
Tyranitar-Mega
RockDark
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.17
59.4%
Standard error 10.93 points
▾
252+ SpA Sinistcha Matcha Gotcha vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tyranitar-Mega in Sand: 62-74 (29.9 - 35.7%) -- 27.9% chance to 3HKO
15
Staraptor-Mega
FightingFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.272
45.9%
Standard error 9.37 points
▾
252+ Atk Staraptor-Mega Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Sinistcha: 228-270 (128 - 151.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
16
Blastoise-Mega
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
32.612
41.3%
Standard error 8.62 points
▾
252+ SpA Mega Launcher Blastoise-Mega Dark Pulse vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 128-152 (71.9 - 85.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
17
Archaludon
SteelDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
31.51
41.6%
Standard error 8.78 points
▾
252+ SpA Archaludon Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 99-117 (55.6 - 65.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
18
Farigiraf
NormalPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
40.149
31.5%
Standard error 7.33 points
▾
252+ SpA Farigiraf Psychic vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 63-75 (35.3 - 42.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
19
Delphox-Mega
FirePsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.228
24.7%
Standard error 9.36 points
▾
252+ SpA Delphox-Mega Heat Wave vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sinistcha: 170-204 (95.5 - 114.6%) -- 75% chance to OHKO
Ranked #6 with 30.00% usage. Sorted by conservative score.