Is Incineroar viable in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-B Best of 3?

Incineroar is ranked #2 in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-B Best of 3 with 44.41% usage according to Smogon May 2026 - Jul 2026 data.

What beats Incineroar in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-B Best of 3?

Sneasler has the strongest conservative score in this observed May 2026 - Jul 2026 sample. The target was knocked out or switched out in 54.5% of 260.4494185339345 relevant encounters. Standard error is 4.1 points. Sets and switch conditions can change the result.

How are Incineroar matchup checks ranked in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-B Best of 3?

They are ranked by p minus four standard errors. Here, p is the observed fraction of relevant encounters where Incineroar was knocked out or switched out. This is not a set-specific battle guarantee.

Incineroar counters

Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-B Best of 3 · Sorted by p − 4 standard errors · Smogon source period May 2026 - Jul 2026 · Generated 2026-08-05

#0727 Incineroar

FireDark

USAGE 44.4% #2

ABILITYIntimidate

BASE STATS

HP 95

ATK 115

DEF 90

SPA 80

SPD 90

SPE 60

BST530

TYPE MATCHUPS

2×

WaterFightingGroundRock

½×

FireGrassIceGhostDarkSteel

0×

Psychic

Moves

Fake Out 100.0% Parting Shot 98.1% Flare Blitz 94.3% Throat Chop 46.6% Darkest Lariat 22.1% Helping Hand 20.6% Protect 10.4% Will-O-Wisp 2.5%

Items

Sitrus Berry 72.1% Passho Berry 11.7% Charcoal 4.5% Chople Berry 3.9% Leftovers 3.2% Shuca Berry 1.5% Life Orb 1.3% White Herb 1.1%

Abilities

Intimidate100.0%Blaze0.0%

Common Teammates

Charizard-Mega-Y32.5%

Delphox-Mega23.8%

Blastoise-Mega19.4%

Browse Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-B Best of 3 teams using Incineroar →

Explore Incineroar + Sneasler teams 38 score Explore Incineroar + Basculegion teams 37 score Explore Incineroar + Incineroar teams 29 score Explore Incineroar + Kingambit teams 29 score

Leading observed checks

Open a matchup for a separate set-based damage estimate, or browse uploaded teams with both Pokémon.

Team core to explore

Incineroar + Sinistcha 49.5% teammate usage Explore teams →

Checks & Counters

Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.

How to read this table

Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.

# Checker Encounters Conservative score Target KO or switch rate

Sneasler

FightingPoison SOFT CHECK View matchup

260.449

38.1

54.5% Standard error 4.11 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Sneasler Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 248-294 (122.7 - 145.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Sneasler counters → Teams with Sneasler →

Basculegion

WaterGhost SOFT CHECK View matchup

299.065

36.8

52.6% Standard error 3.96 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Mystic Water Adaptability Basculegion Wave Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 356-420 (176.2 - 207.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Basculegion counters → Teams with Basculegion →

Garchomp

DragonGround SOFT CHECK View matchup

332.317

34.8

49.6% Standard error 3.71 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Life Orb Garchomp Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 268-320 (132.6 - 158.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Garchomp counters →

Incineroar

FireDark SOFT CHECK View matchup

503.924

29.2

41.1% Standard error 2.98 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 56-66 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO

View Incineroar counters → Teams with Incineroar →

Kingambit

DarkSteel SOFT CHECK View matchup

238.98

29.1

46.4% Standard error 4.34 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Kingambit Low Kick (80 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 112-134 (55.4 - 66.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Kingambit counters → Teams with Kingambit →

Charizard-Mega-Y

FireFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

307.816

28.9

43.7% Standard error 3.70 points

DAMAGE CALCSun

252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 93-109 (46 - 53.9%) -- 46.5% chance to 2HKO

View Charizard-Mega-Y counters →

Whimsicott

GrassFairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

171.434

26.6

47.1% Standard error 5.13 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Whimsicott Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 49-58 (24.2 - 28.7%) -- 97.4% chance to 4HKO

View Whimsicott counters → Teams with Whimsicott →

Venusaur

GrassPoison SOFT CHECK View matchup

91.261

24.9

45.8% Standard error 5.22 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Life Orb Venusaur Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 96-114 (47.5 - 56.4%) -- 82.8% chance to 2HKO

View Venusaur counters →

Torkoal

Fire DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

27.78

24.4

61.3% Standard error 9.24 points

DAMAGE CALCSun

252+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Torkoal in Sun: 44-52 (24.8 - 29.3%) -- 99.9% chance to 4HKO

View Torkoal counters →

Farigiraf

NormalPsychic SOFT CHECK View matchup

113.71

21.4

47.0% Standard error 6.39 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Farigiraf Hyper Voice vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 58-70 (28.7 - 34.6%) -- 8.3% chance to 3HKO

View Farigiraf counters → Teams with Farigiraf →

Pelipper

WaterFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

107.844

21.4

47.7% Standard error 6.56 points

DAMAGE CALCRain

252+ SpA Pelipper Weather Ball (100 BP Water) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar in Rain: 176-210 (87.1 - 103.9%) -- 18.8% chance to OHKO

View Pelipper counters →

Tyranitar-Mega

RockDark SOFT CHECK View matchup

45.079

21.2

51.0% Standard error 7.45 points

DAMAGE CALCSand

252+ Atk Tyranitar-Mega Rock Slide vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 186-218 (92 - 107.9%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO (81.3% chance to OHKO after sandstorm damage)

View Tyranitar-Mega counters →

Gholdengo

SteelGhost SOFT CHECK View matchup

46.843

20.2

49.4% Standard error 7.30 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Life Orb Gholdengo Power Gem vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 101-122 (50 - 60.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Gholdengo counters → Teams with Gholdengo →

Toxapex

PoisonWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

46.299

20.1

49.5% Standard error 7.35 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Toxapex Infestation vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 6-8 (2.9 - 3.9%) -- guaranteed 7HKO after trapping damage

View Toxapex counters →

Floette-Mega

Fairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

123.564

18.9

43.4% Standard error 6.13 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Floette-Mega Light of Ruin vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 115-136 (56.9 - 67.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Floette-Mega counters →

Archaludon

SteelDragon SOFT CHECK View matchup

65.451

18.2

42.7% Standard error 6.11 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Archaludon Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 93-109 (46 - 53.9%) -- 46.5% chance to 2HKO

View Archaludon counters →

Sylveon

Fairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

95.437

17.4

44.9% Standard error 6.88 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Fairy Feather Pixilate Sylveon Hyper Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 139-165 (68.8 - 81.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Sylveon counters →

Staraptor-Mega

FightingFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

46.577

17.3

46.5% Standard error 7.31 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Staraptor-Mega Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 260-308 (128.7 - 152.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Staraptor-Mega counters →

Aerodactyl-Mega

RockFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

39.677

17.1

48.9% Standard error 7.94 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Aerodactyl-Mega Rock Slide vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 158-188 (78.2 - 93%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Aerodactyl-Mega counters →

Hydreigon

DarkDragon SOFT CHECK View matchup

31.965

14.3

49.7% Standard error 8.84 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Hydreigon Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 93-109 (46 - 53.9%) -- 46.5% chance to 2HKO

View Hydreigon counters →

Venusaur-Mega

GrassPoison SOFT CHECK View matchup

29.424

12.8

49.7% Standard error 9.22 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Venusaur-Mega Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 84-100 (41.5 - 49.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Venusaur-Mega counters →

Sinistcha

GrassGhost SOFT CHECK View matchup

198.044

11.8

29.3% Standard error 4.36 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Sinistcha Matcha Gotcha vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 27-33 (13.3 - 16.3%) -- possible 7HKO

View Sinistcha counters → Teams with Sinistcha →

Grimmsnarl

DarkFairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

50.782

10.8

38.0% Standard error 6.81 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Grimmsnarl Spirit Break vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 73-87 (36.1 - 43%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Grimmsnarl counters →

Ninetales-Alola

IceFairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

26.939

10.1

48.6% Standard error 9.63 points

DAMAGE CALCSnow

252+ SpA Ninetales-Alola Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 51-61 (25.2 - 30.1%) -- guaranteed 4HKO

View Ninetales-Alola counters → Teams with Ninetales-Alola →

Maushold

Normal SOFT CHECK View matchup

25.236

9.7

49.5% Standard error 9.95 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Maushold Population Bomb (10 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 160-190 (79.2 - 94%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Maushold counters →

Excadrill

GroundSteel SOFT CHECK View matchup

26.823

8.4

46.9% Standard error 9.64 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Excadrill Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 212-252 (104.9 - 124.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Excadrill counters →

Delphox-Mega

FirePsychic SOFT CHECK View matchup

45.995

6.8

34.9% Standard error 7.03 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Delphox-Mega Heat Wave vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 40-48 (19.8 - 23.7%) -- possible 5HKO

View Delphox-Mega counters →

Swampert-Mega

WaterGround SOFT CHECK View matchup

23.549

4.7

45.7% Standard error 10.27 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Wave Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 272-324 (134.6 - 160.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Swampert-Mega counters →

Froslass-Mega

IceGhost SOFT CHECK View matchup

24.932

1.5

40.8% Standard error 9.84 points

DAMAGE CALCSnow

252+ SpA Froslass-Mega Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 46-55 (22.7 - 27.2%) -- 50% chance to 4HKO

View Froslass-Mega counters →

Blastoise-Mega

Water SOFT CHECK View matchup

26.867

1.4

39.0% Standard error 9.41 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Blastoise-Mega Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 222-264 (109.9 - 130.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Blastoise-Mega counters →

Ranked #2 with 44.41% usage. Sorted by conservative score.