Is Incineroar viable in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-C Best of 3?

Incineroar is ranked #3 in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-C Best of 3 with 41.88% usage according to Smogon Sep 2026 data.

What beats Incineroar in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-C Best of 3?

Sneasler has the strongest conservative score in this observed Sep 2026 sample. The target was knocked out or switched out in 54.7% of 66.2249715598567 relevant encounters. Standard error is 6.1 points. Sets and switch conditions can change the result.

How are Incineroar matchup checks ranked in Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-C Best of 3?

They are ranked by p minus four standard errors. Here, p is the observed fraction of relevant encounters where Incineroar was knocked out or switched out. This is not a set-specific battle guarantee.

Incineroar counters

Gen 9 Champions VGC 2026 Reg M-C Best of 3 · Smogon source period Sep 2026

#0727 Incineroar

FireDark

USAGE 41.9% #3

ABILITYIntimidate

BASE STATS

HP 95

ATK 115

DEF 90

SPA 80

SPD 90

SPE 60

BST530

TYPE MATCHUPS

2×

WaterFightingGroundRock

½×

FireGrassIceGhostDarkSteel

0×

Psychic

Moves

Fake Out 100.0% Parting Shot 96.9% Flare Blitz 90.9% Throat Chop 43.0% Darkest Lariat 19.6% Protect 19.4% Helping Hand 12.8% Taunt 8.6%

Items

Sitrus Berry 68.9% Passho Berry 10.9% Chople Berry 7.6% Rocky Helmet 6.0% White Herb 2.9% Leftovers 1.5% Charcoal 0.8% Life Orb 0.4%

Abilities

Intimidate100.0%Blaze0.0%

Common Teammates

Charizard-Mega-Y15.6%

Garchomp-Mega-Z14.7%

Leading observed checks

Open a matchup for a separate set-based damage estimate, or browse uploaded teams with both Pokémon.

Team core to explore

Incineroar + Rillaboom 67.2% teammate usage Explore teams →

Checks & Counters

Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.

How to read this table

Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.

# Checker Encounters Conservative score Target KO or switch rate

Sneasler

FightingPoison SOFT CHECK View matchup

66.225

30.2

54.7% Standard error 6.12 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Sneasler Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 248-294 (122.7 - 145.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Sneasler counters → Teams with Sneasler →

Incineroar

FireDark SOFT CHECK View matchup

109.575

20.2

38.9% Standard error 4.66 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 56-66 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO

View Incineroar counters →

Arcanine-Hisui

FireRock OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

20.775

19.3

61.9% Standard error 10.65 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Arcanine-Hisui Head Smash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 282-332 (139.6 - 164.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Arcanine-Hisui counters → Teams with Arcanine-Hisui →

Rillaboom

Grass SOFT CHECK View matchup

67.391

17.7

41.8% Standard error 6.01 points

DAMAGE CALCGrassy Terrain

252+ Atk Rillaboom Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 160-190 (79.2 - 94%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Grassy Terrain recovery

View Rillaboom counters → Teams with Rillaboom →

Kingambit

DarkSteel SOFT CHECK View matchup

35.57

16.9

50.4% Standard error 8.38 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Life Orb Kingambit Low Kick (80 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 146-174 (72.2 - 86.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Kingambit counters → Teams with Kingambit →

Gholdengo

SteelGhost SOFT CHECK View matchup

42.254

13.2

43.8% Standard error 7.63 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Life Orb Gholdengo Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 153-182 (75.7 - 90%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Gholdengo counters →

Basculegion

WaterGhost SOFT CHECK View matchup

24.473

7.1

47.5% Standard error 10.09 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Adaptability Basculegion Wave Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 296-352 (146.5 - 174.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Basculegion counters →

Indeedee-F

PsychicNormal SOFT CHECK View matchup

22.021

6.8

49.4% Standard error 10.65 points

Garchomp

DragonGround SOFT CHECK View matchup

20.519

4.8

48.9% Standard error 11.04 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Life Orb Garchomp Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 268-320 (132.6 - 158.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Garchomp counters → Teams with Garchomp →

Charizard-Mega-Y

FireFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

32.764

4.6

38.6% Standard error 8.51 points

DAMAGE CALCSun

252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Incineroar: 93-109 (46 - 53.9%) -- 46.5% chance to 2HKO

View Charizard-Mega-Y counters →

Salamence-Mega

DragonFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

23.061

1.5

42.7% Standard error 10.30 points

DAMAGE CALC

0- Atk Aerilate Salamence-Mega Double-Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Incineroar: 109-130 (53.9 - 64.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Salamence-Mega counters →

Ranked #3 with 41.88% usage. Sorted by conservative score.