Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
57.534
86.5%
Standard error 6.36 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kyurem-Black: 776-914 (170.9 - 201.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
211.598
52.3%
Standard error 5.85 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 360-426 (79.2 - 93.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
27.256
59.9%
Standard error 9.39 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kyurem-Black: 320-378 (70.4 - 83.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Excadrill
GroundSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
28.601
56.4%
Standard error 9.27 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kyurem-Black: 296-350 (65.1 - 77%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
05
Victini
PsychicFire
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.639
56.6%
Standard error 9.79 points
▾
252+ Atk Kyurem-Black Outrage vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Victini: 190-225 (47 - 55.6%) -- 76.2% chance to 2HKO
06
Kartana
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
67.082
53.1%
Standard error 10.53 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Smart Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kyurem-Black: 324-384 (71.3 - 84.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
161.99
36.7%
Standard error 6.52 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Dark Pulse vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 142-168 (31.2 - 37%) -- 75.8% chance to 3HKO
08
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
82.463
46.6%
Standard error 9.44 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Dazzling Gleam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 234-276 (51.5 - 60.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
131.245
37.1%
Standard error 7.29 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Gyro Ball (41 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kyurem-Black: 116-140 (25.5 - 30.8%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
10
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
24.206
43.8%
Standard error 10.08 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 212-252 (46.6 - 55.5%) -- 68.8% chance to 2HKO
11
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.472
36.0%
Standard error 9.33 points
▾
Chansey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Kyurem-Black: 100-100 (22 - 22%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
12
Heatran
FireSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
84.708
33.0%
Standard error 8.72 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 139-165 (30.6 - 36.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after trapping damage
13
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
148.218
20.8%
Standard error 5.73 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 32-38 (7 - 8.3%)
14
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
237.325
9.2%
Standard error 3.23 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kyurem-Black: 323-381 (71.1 - 83.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Serperior
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.436
33.1%
Standard error 9.93 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Leaf Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 63-74 (13.8 - 16.2%) -- possible 7HKO
16
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
58.471
1.7%
Standard error 2.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kyurem-Black: 144-171 (31.7 - 37.6%) -- 90.9% chance to 3HKO
17
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.394
21.8%
Standard error 8.53 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kyurem-Black: 198-234 (43.6 - 51.5%) -- 8.2% chance to 2HKO
Ranked #23 with 7.90% usage. Sorted by conservative score.