Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
66.748
79.8%
Standard error 8.47 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 253-298 (73.5 - 86.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Celesteela
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
30.098
76.2%
Standard error 7.76 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Tapu Lele Thunder vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Celesteela: 282-332 (70.8 - 83.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
03
Kartana
GrassSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
68.478
69.4%
Standard error 7.78 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Smart Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 410-486 (119.1 - 141.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
04
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
232.278
51.1%
Standard error 5.57 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 153-181 (44.4 - 52.6%) -- 21.5% chance to 2HKO
05
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
192.305
44.0%
Standard error 6.14 points
▾
0- Atk Greninja Gunk Shot vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 190-224 (55.2 - 65.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Excadrill
GroundSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
28.128
56.1%
Standard error 9.36 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 374-444 (108.7 - 129%) -- guaranteed OHKO
07
Heatran
FireSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
122.209
49.1%
Standard error 7.78 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 118-139 (34.3 - 40.4%) -- 43.8% chance to 2HKO after trapping damage
08
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
62.949
48.1%
Standard error 8.86 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega Poison Jab vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 406-478 (118 - 138.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO
09
Cresselia
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
30.451
48.4%
Standard error 9.06 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 63-75 (18.3 - 21.8%) -- possible 5HKO
10
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
128.454
41.9%
Standard error 7.45 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 219-258 (63.6 - 75%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
11
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.187
50.1%
Standard error 9.77 points
▾
Chansey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Tapu Lele: 100-100 (29 - 29%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
12
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
25.342
49.6%
Standard error 9.93 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Tapu Lele Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele in Psychic Terrain: 204-241 (59.3 - 70%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
144.547
35.3%
Standard error 6.77 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele in Electric Terrain: 165-196 (47.9 - 56.9%) -- 89.5% chance to 2HKO
14
Latias-Mega
DragonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.203
50.1%
Standard error 10.86 points
▾
252+ SpA Latias-Mega Thunder vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 91-108 (26.4 - 31.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
15
Serperior
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.844
49.1%
Standard error 10.70 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Leaf Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 106-126 (30.8 - 36.6%) -- 61.9% chance to 3HKO
16
Tapu Bulu
GrassFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.443
48.5%
Standard error 10.79 points
▾
252+ Atk Tapu Bulu Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele in Grassy Terrain: 409-483 (118.8 - 140.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO
17
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
30.768
39.6%
Standard error 8.82 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele in Sun: 267-315 (77.6 - 91.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
18
Dragonite
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.023
47.6%
Standard error 10.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Fly vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 210-247 (61 - 71.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
19
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
165.29
21.1%
Standard error 5.41 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 411-484 (119.4 - 140.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
20
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.237
26.6%
Standard error 6.91 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 115-136 (33.4 - 39.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
21
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
33.54
26.3%
Standard error 7.60 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor-Mega U-turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 178-210 (51.7 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
22
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
24.4
34.0%
Standard error 9.59 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 184-217 (53.4 - 63%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
23
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
120.277
7.5%
Standard error 4.14 points
▾
0- Atk Toxapex Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 55-65 (15.9 - 18.8%) -- possible 6HKO
24
Tapu Fini
WaterFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
98.739
14.7%
Standard error 6.12 points
▾
Tapu Fini Nature's Madness vs. 252 HP Tapu Lele: 172-172 (50 - 50%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
25
Pelipper
WaterFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.451
2.4%
Standard error 3.17 points
▾
0- SpA Pelipper Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele in Rain: 84-99 (24.4 - 28.7%) -- 98.6% chance to 4HKO
26
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23
23.9%
Standard error 8.89 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 91-108 (26.4 - 31.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
27
Kommo-o
DragonFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.921
13.3%
Standard error 7.41 points
▾
252+ Atk Kommo-o Poison Jab vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 216-256 (62.7 - 74.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #14 with 10.43% usage. Sorted by conservative score.