Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Greninja
WaterDark
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
100.935
62.4%
Standard error 8.33 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 187-222 (61.5 - 73%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.699
64.4%
Standard error 10.05 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mawile-Mega: 330-390 (108.5 - 128.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
03
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
51.243
61.0%
Standard error 9.56 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 270-318 (88.8 - 104.6%) -- 25% chance to OHKO (guaranteed OHKO after trapping damage)
04
Gliscor
GroundFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
48.426
60.0%
Standard error 9.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Huge Power Mawile-Mega Ice Punch vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Gliscor: 384-452 (108.4 - 127.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
05
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
183.087
40.8%
Standard error 6.28 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mawile-Mega: 320-380 (105.2 - 125%) -- guaranteed OHKO
06
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
126.174
45.9%
Standard error 7.59 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 108-128 (35.5 - 42.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
07
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
47.32
52.7%
Standard error 10.16 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega in Electric Terrain: 188-224 (61.8 - 73.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
08
Kartana
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
49.668
34.2%
Standard error 9.51 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Smart Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mawile-Mega: 135-159 (44.4 - 52.3%) -- 14.8% chance to 2HKO
09
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.476
34.9%
Standard error 10.54 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mawile-Mega: 321-378 (105.5 - 124.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
10
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
87.024
22.2%
Standard error 7.45 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 61-73 (20 - 24%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
11
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
74.658
9.7%
Standard error 4.84 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mawile-Mega: 72-84 (23.6 - 27.6%) -- 81.2% chance to 4HKO
12
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.136
29.3%
Standard error 10.14 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 51-60 (16.7 - 19.7%) -- guaranteed 6HKO
13
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
53.02
17.6%
Standard error 7.26 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Heat Wave vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 152-180 (50 - 59.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #25 with 7.64% usage. Sorted by conservative score.