Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Celesteela
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
24.622
74.0%
Standard error 8.84 points
▾
252+ SpA Serperior Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Celesteela: 72-86 (18 - 21.6%) -- possible 7HKO
02
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
100.654
68.0%
Standard error 7.92 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 270-318 (76.2 - 89.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery and trapping damage
03
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
260.925
51.6%
Standard error 5.28 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Fleur Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 174-205 (49.1 - 57.9%) -- 59% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
04
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
184.118
47.7%
Standard error 6.24 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 204-242 (57.6 - 68.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Kyurem-Black
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.436
62.7%
Standard error 10.21 points
▾
252+ Atk Teravolt Kyurem-Black Freeze Shock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 642-756 (181.3 - 213.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
06
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
118.224
51.2%
Standard error 7.91 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 97-115 (27.4 - 32.4%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
07
Victini
PsychicFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
30.13
47.4%
Standard error 9.10 points
▾
252+ Atk Victini V-create vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 560-662 (158.1 - 187%) -- guaranteed OHKO
08
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
122.274
39.7%
Standard error 7.54 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 264-312 (74.5 - 88.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
09
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.844
50.8%
Standard error 10.70 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Tapu Lele Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior in Psychic Terrain: 337-397 (95.1 - 112.1%) -- 68.8% chance to OHKO
10
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
133.821
31.5%
Standard error 6.84 points
▾
Tapu Koko Nature's Madness vs. 252 HP Serperior: 177-177 (50 - 50%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
11
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
53.2
40.8%
Standard error 9.37 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 405-477 (114.4 - 134.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
209.075
7.9%
Standard error 3.22 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 338-398 (95.4 - 112.4%) -- 75% chance to OHKO
13
Latias-Mega
DragonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
25.827
30.8%
Standard error 9.09 points
▾
252+ SpA Latias-Mega Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 184-217 (51.9 - 61.2%) -- 96.1% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
14
Kartana
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
85.765
27.5%
Standard error 8.26 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Giga Impact vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 241-284 (68 - 80.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
15
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
58.931
19.0%
Standard error 6.48 points
▾
Chansey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Serperior: 100-100 (28.2 - 28.2%) -- guaranteed 5HKO after Leftovers recovery
16
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
94.956
22.7%
Standard error 7.44 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Ice Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 210-248 (59.3 - 70%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
17
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
96.751
19.5%
Standard error 6.80 points
▾
0- Atk Toxapex Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 45-54 (12.7 - 15.2%) -- possible 7HKO
18
Excadrill
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
52.4
24.0%
Standard error 8.29 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 154-183 (43.5 - 51.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
19
Diancie-Mega
RockFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
29.784
4.8%
Standard error 3.93 points
▾
0- Atk Diancie-Mega Diamond Storm vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Serperior: 153-180 (43.2 - 50.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
20
Tapu Fini
WaterFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
87.276
11.7%
Standard error 5.95 points
▾
Tapu Fini Nature's Madness vs. 252 HP Serperior: 177-177 (50 - 50%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
21
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.566
21.0%
Standard error 8.98 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Serperior: 102-121 (28.8 - 34.1%) -- 99.1% chance to 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
Ranked #15 with 10.12% usage. Sorted by conservative score.