Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Hoopa-Unbound
PsychicDark
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
27.043
90.7%
Standard error 5.58 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Hoopa-Unbound Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 366-432 (120.3 - 142.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
45.601
87.1%
Standard error 7.02 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 84-99 (27.6 - 32.5%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
03
Pecharunt
PoisonGhost
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.55
84.3%
Standard error 7.20 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Pecharunt: 73-87 (19.2 - 22.8%) -- possible 6HKO
04
Kyurem
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.567
81.8%
Standard error 7.95 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Kyurem Freeze-Dry vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 212-252 (69.7 - 82.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
05
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
58.896
78.5%
Standard error 7.56 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Vessel of Ruin Ting-Lu: 116-138 (22.5 - 26.8%) -- possible 5HKO
06
Landorus
GroundFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.581
80.1%
Standard error 8.40 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Sheer Force Landorus Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 283-335 (93 - 110.1%) -- 62.5% chance to OHKO
07
Dragapult
DragonGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
105.477
66.2%
Standard error 6.17 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragapult Dragon Darts (2 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 116-140 (38.1 - 46%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
08
Raging Bolt
ElectricDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
33.373
72.2%
Standard error 7.76 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 188-224 (61.8 - 73.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Gliscor
GroundFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
136.379
66.9%
Standard error 6.67 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Gliscor: 162-192 (45.7 - 54.2%) -- 47.3% chance to 2HKO
10
Empoleon
WaterSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
31.498
65.4%
Standard error 8.48 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Empoleon: 33-39 (8.8 - 10.4%)
11
Flutter Mane
GhostFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
73.627
61.4%
Standard error 7.60 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Flutter Mane Thunder vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 228-270 (75 - 88.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Goodra-Hisui
SteelDragon
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
37.244
61.1%
Standard error 7.99 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Goodra-Hisui: 25-30 (6.8 - 8.2%)
13
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.78
64.3%
Standard error 9.44 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 169-201 (55.5 - 66.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
14
Latios
DragonPsychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.845
64.8%
Standard error 9.99 points
▾
252+ SpA Expert Belt Latios Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 240-283 (78.9 - 93%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Swampert
WaterGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.106
65.4%
Standard error 10.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 222-264 (73 - 86.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
16
Suicune
Water
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.942
65.0%
Standard error 10.42 points
▾
0- Atk Toxapex Poison Jab vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Suicune: 48-57 (11.8 - 14.1%) -- possible 8HKO
17
Clodsire
PoisonGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
27.029
57.5%
Standard error 9.51 points
▾
0- Atk Toxapex Poison Jab vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Clodsire: 20-24 (4.3 - 5.1%)
18
Archaludon
SteelDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
108.217
46.0%
Standard error 6.64 points
▾
0- SpA Archaludon Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 85-102 (27.9 - 33.5%) -- 0.1% chance to 3HKO
19
Articuno
IceFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
59.311
54.3%
Standard error 9.01 points
▾
252+ SpA Articuno Freeze-Dry vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 116-138 (38.1 - 45.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
20
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.431
49.7%
Standard error 7.87 points
▾
252+ SpA Protean Greninja Extrasensory vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 138-164 (45.3 - 53.9%) -- 42.2% chance to 2HKO
21
Sableye
DarkGhost
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.194
61.4%
Standard error 10.83 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Sableye: 87-103 (28.6 - 33.8%) -- 0.9% chance to 3HKO
22
Skarmory
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.465
56.4%
Standard error 10.70 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 84-99 (25.1 - 29.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
23
Dragonite
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.862
55.8%
Standard error 10.87 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 170-202 (55.9 - 66.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
24
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
82.541
41.2%
Standard error 7.41 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 26-31 (8.5 - 10.1%)
25
Samurott-Hisui
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
100.425
45.1%
Standard error 8.42 points
▾
252+ Atk Sharpness Samurott-Hisui Ceaseless Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 106-126 (34.8 - 41.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
26
Muk-Alola
PoisonDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.244
47.1%
Standard error 9.74 points
▾
252+ Atk Muk-Alola Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 105-124 (34.5 - 40.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
27
Meowscarada
GrassDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
169.278
27.7%
Standard error 5.88 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Protean Meowscarada Thunder Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 252-296 (82.8 - 97.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
28
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
49.091
26.1%
Standard error 6.27 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Liquidation vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 37-44 (12.1 - 14.4%) -- possible 7HKO
29
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
64.577
13.2%
Standard error 4.21 points
▾
252+ Atk Corviknight Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 114-135 (37.5 - 44.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
30
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
74.378
20.4%
Standard error 6.54 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Bleakwind Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 90-106 (29.6 - 34.8%) -- 11.8% chance to 3HKO
Ranked #16 with 10.34% usage. Sorted by conservative score.