Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
340.125
69.3%
Standard error 4.22 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Make It Rain vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 288-338 (83.7 - 98.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Volcarona
BugFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
118.275
67.2%
Standard error 7.35 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Bug Buzz vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 109-129 (31.6 - 37.5%) -- 85.4% chance to 3HKO
03
Melmetal
Steel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
151.415
63.5%
Standard error 6.62 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Melmetal: 272-320 (57.3 - 67.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
173.227
61.3%
Standard error 6.27 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 309-364 (89.8 - 105.8%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO
05
Charizard-Mega-X
FireDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
67.003
65.7%
Standard error 8.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 355-418 (103.1 - 121.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
06
Ceruledge
FireGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
27.312
67.5%
Standard error 8.96 points
▾
252+ Atk Ceruledge Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 488-576 (141.8 - 167.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO
07
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
280.469
49.4%
Standard error 5.12 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 184-217 (53.4 - 63%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
08
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
112.49
59.6%
Standard error 7.86 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Eruption (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 177-208 (51.4 - 60.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Iron Treads
GroundSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
161.216
55.0%
Standard error 6.73 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Iron Treads: 260-306 (67.7 - 79.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
10
Chansey
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
83.899
56.2%
Standard error 7.55 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Chansey in Psychic Terrain: 637-750 (90.4 - 106.5%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO
11
Kingambit
DarkSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
345.134
44.0%
Standard error 4.52 points
▾
252+ Atk Kingambit Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 374-444 (108.7 - 129%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
111.065
57.6%
Standard error 8.05 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele in Sun: 267-315 (77.6 - 91.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Terapagos
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
178.365
46.6%
Standard error 6.34 points
▾
252+ Atk Terapagos Rapid Spin vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 73-87 (21.2 - 25.2%) -- 0.1% chance to 4HKO
14
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
128.656
48.1%
Standard error 7.46 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele in Psychic Terrain: 118-140 (34.3 - 40.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
15
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
246.666
37.4%
Standard error 5.18 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor-Mega U-turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 178-210 (51.7 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
16
Dragonite
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
212.636
38.4%
Standard error 5.70 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Fly vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 210-247 (61 - 71.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
17
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
245.32
34.0%
Standard error 5.09 points
▾
252+ Atk Corviknight Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 278-330 (80.8 - 95.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
18
Mawile-Mega
SteelFairy
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.833
55.9%
Standard error 10.63 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Hidden Power Fire vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mawile-Mega: 108-128 (35.5 - 42.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
19
Zamazenta
Fighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
349.214
30.0%
Standard error 4.16 points
▾
252+ Atk Zamazenta Heavy Slam (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 344-406 (100 - 118%) -- guaranteed OHKO
20
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
121.597
43.2%
Standard error 7.67 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Gyro Ball (61 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 222-264 (64.5 - 76.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
21
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
561.664
22.1%
Standard error 2.97 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 102-121 (29.6 - 35.1%) -- 18% chance to 3HKO
22
Hatterene
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.852
37.8%
Standard error 7.21 points
▾
252+ SpA Hatterene Draining Kiss vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 61-73 (17.7 - 21.2%) -- possible 5HKO
23
Garchomp
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
197.69
30.3%
Standard error 5.59 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 228-268 (66.2 - 77.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
24
Urshifu-Rapid-Strike
FightingWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
135.203
35.7%
Standard error 7.00 points
▾
252+ Atk Urshifu-Rapid-Strike Surging Strikes (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele on a critical hit: 261-309 (75.8 - 89.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
25
Cresselia
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.597
50.2%
Standard error 10.76 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 52-62 (15.1 - 18%) -- possible 6HKO
26
Rillaboom
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.089
45.6%
Standard error 9.75 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Rillaboom Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele in Grassy Terrain: 517-609 (150.2 - 177%) -- guaranteed OHKO
27
Diancie-Mega
RockFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
86.284
41.4%
Standard error 8.89 points
▾
0- Atk Diancie-Mega Diamond Storm vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 186-219 (54 - 63.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
28
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
57.213
39.5%
Standard error 9.05 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 91-108 (26.4 - 31.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
29
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
216.142
22.7%
Standard error 4.86 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Tapu Lele: 411-484 (119.4 - 140.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
30
Slowking-Galar
PoisonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
167.852
26.4%
Standard error 5.83 points
▾
252+ SpA Slowking-Galar Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Lele: 188-224 (54.6 - 65.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #17 with 9.94% usage. Sorted by conservative score.