Is Ogerpon-Wellspring viable in Gen 9 National Dex?

Ogerpon-Wellspring is ranked #8 in Gen 9 National Dex with 14.68% usage according to Smogon May 2026 - Jul 2026 data.

What beats Ogerpon-Wellspring in Gen 9 National Dex?

Venusaur-Mega has the strongest conservative score in this observed May 2026 - Jul 2026 sample. The target was knocked out or switched out in 86.8% of 245.1920971796043 relevant encounters. Standard error is 3.6 points. Sets and switch conditions can change the result.

How are Ogerpon-Wellspring matchup checks ranked in Gen 9 National Dex?

They are ranked by p minus four standard errors. Here, p is the observed fraction of relevant encounters where Ogerpon-Wellspring was knocked out or switched out. This is not a set-specific battle guarantee.

Ogerpon-Wellspring counters

Gen 9 National Dex · Sorted by p − 4 standard errors · Smogon source period May 2026 - Jul 2026 · Generated 2026-08-05

#1017 Ogerpon-Wellspring

GrassWater

USAGE 14.7% #8

BASE STATS

HP 80

ATK 120

DEF 84

SPA 60

SPD 96

SPE 110

BST550

TYPE MATCHUPS

2×

PoisonFlyingBug

½×

GroundSteel

¼×

Water

Moves

Ivy Cudgel 100.0% Swords Dance 61.6% Power Whip 47.8% U-turn 31.5% Horn Leech 24.5% Superpower 22.9% Play Rough 22.0% Trailblaze 19.2%

Items

Wellspring Mask 100.0%

Common Teammates

Zamazenta34.5%

Landorus-Therian33.1%

Browse Gen 9 National Dex teams using Ogerpon-Wellspring →

Explore Ogerpon-Wellspring + Zamazenta teams 67 score Explore Ogerpon-Wellspring + Dragonite teams 64 score

Leading observed checks

Open a matchup for a separate set-based damage estimate, or browse uploaded teams with both Pokémon.

Team core to explore

Ogerpon-Wellspring + Zamazenta 34.5% teammate usage Explore teams →

Checks & Counters

Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.

How to read this table

Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.

# Checker Encounters Conservative score Target KO or switch rate

Venusaur-Mega

GrassPoison DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

245.192

72.6

86.8% Standard error 3.56 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Venusaur-Mega: 63-75 (17.3 - 20.6%) -- possible 5HKO

View Venusaur-Mega counters →

Zamazenta

Fighting OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

515.449

67.3

79.3% Standard error 2.99 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Zamazenta Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 235-277 (64.5 - 76%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Zamazenta counters → Teams with Zamazenta →

Dragonite

DragonFlying OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

298.398

64.1

79.6% Standard error 3.88 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Dragonite Fly vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 384-452 (105.4 - 124.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Dragonite counters → Teams with Dragonite →

Tangrowth

Grass DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

61.327

61.3

86.1% Standard error 6.19 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring U-turn vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Tangrowth: 118-140 (29.2 - 34.6%) -- 6.9% chance to 3HKO

Chesnaught

GrassFighting DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

20.42

59.2

88.0% Standard error 7.20 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Play Rough vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Chesnaught: 154-182 (40.5 - 47.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

Serperior

Grass DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

32.793

53.8

81.2% Standard error 6.83 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring U-turn vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Serperior: 142-168 (40.1 - 47.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery

View Serperior counters →

Iron Valiant

FairyFighting OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

152.967

49.9

73.8% Standard error 5.97 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Iron Valiant Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 249-294 (68.4 - 80.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Iron Valiant counters → Teams with Iron Valiant →

Latios-Mega

DragonPsychic OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

53.204

49.0

73.3% Standard error 6.07 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Latios-Mega Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 201-237 (55.2 - 65.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Latios-Mega counters →

Kyurem

DragonIce OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

245.577

46.1

66.1% Standard error 4.99 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Kyurem Freeze-Dry vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 372-444 (102.1 - 121.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Kyurem counters → Teams with Kyurem →

Kartana

GrassSteel OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

27.572

46.0

77.7% Standard error 7.93 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Kartana Giga Impact vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 267-315 (73.3 - 86.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Kartana counters →

Sinistcha

GrassGhost OFFENSIVE CHECK

23.287

45.1

78.9% Standard error 8.45 points

Raging Bolt

ElectricDragon OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

364.236

42.7

60.1% Standard error 4.35 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Choice Specs Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 268-316 (73.6 - 86.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Raging Bolt counters → Teams with Raging Bolt →

Tapu Bulu

GrassFairy OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

31.65

40.5

72.3% Standard error 7.95 points

DAMAGE CALCGrassy Terrain

252+ Atk Tapu Bulu Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring in Grassy Terrain: 324-382 (89 - 104.9%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO

View Tapu Bulu counters →

Lopunny-Mega

NormalFighting OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

123.353

38.8

67.6% Standard error 7.20 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Lopunny-Mega Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 258-304 (70.8 - 83.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Lopunny-Mega counters →

Mawile-Mega

SteelFairy DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

31.557

37.7

70.2% Standard error 8.14 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Mawile-Mega: 126-148 (41.4 - 48.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Mawile-Mega counters →

Tornadus-Therian

Flying OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

275.514

37.6

57.4% Standard error 4.95 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 260-308 (71.4 - 84.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Tornadus-Therian counters → Teams with Tornadus-Therian →

Melmetal

Steel DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

228.166

37.0

59.1% Standard error 5.54 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Superpower vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Melmetal: 182-216 (38.3 - 45.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Melmetal counters →

Gengar

GhostPoison OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

46.7

35.7

71.8% Standard error 9.01 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Gengar Sludge Wave vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 254-300 (69.7 - 82.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Gengar counters →

Kingambit

DarkSteel SOFT CHECK View matchup

293.696

35.2

54.7% Standard error 4.87 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Black Glasses Kingambit Kowtow Cleave vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 219-258 (60.1 - 70.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Kingambit counters → Teams with Kingambit →

Charizard-Mega-X

FireDragon OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

89.168

34.9

68.2% Standard error 8.33 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 324-382 (89 - 104.9%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO

View Charizard-Mega-X counters →

Pecharunt

PoisonGhost DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

171.118

34.0

58.9% Standard error 6.22 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Pecharunt: 105-124 (27.6 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO

View Pecharunt counters → Teams with Pecharunt →

Hydrapple

GrassDragon DEFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

55.369

29.7

65.6% Standard error 8.97 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Play Rough vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Hydrapple: 166-196 (39.9 - 47.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

Ogerpon-Wellspring

GrassWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

418.68

27.6

43.8% Standard error 4.06 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 282-333 (77.4 - 91.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ogerpon-Wellspring counters → Teams with Ogerpon-Wellspring →

Terapagos

Normal SOFT CHECK View matchup

272.719

27.2

47.6% Standard error 5.12 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Terapagos Rapid Spin vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 67-79 (18.4 - 21.7%) -- possible 5HKO

View Terapagos counters → Teams with Terapagos →

Ferrothorn

GrassSteel SOFT CHECK View matchup

216.245

24.9

48.2% Standard error 5.83 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Ferrothorn Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 199-235 (54.6 - 64.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ferrothorn counters → Teams with Ferrothorn →

Gholdengo

SteelGhost SOFT CHECK View matchup

301.718

23.6

42.8% Standard error 4.82 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 109-129 (29.9 - 35.4%) -- 22.4% chance to 3HKO

View Gholdengo counters → Teams with Gholdengo →

Ceruledge

FireGhost OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

37.398

22.8

55.4% Standard error 8.13 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Ceruledge Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 222-262 (60.9 - 71.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ceruledge counters → Teams with Ceruledge →

Toxapex

PoisonWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

321.06

21.6

40.2% Standard error 4.66 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Toxapex Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 138-164 (37.9 - 45%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Toxapex counters → Teams with Toxapex →

Ogerpon-Cornerstone

GrassRock OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

21.443

21.5

63.2% Standard error 10.41 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Cornerstone Mask Ogerpon-Cornerstone Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 282-333 (77.4 - 91.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ogerpon-Cornerstone counters →

Scizor-Mega

BugSteel SOFT CHECK View matchup

176.729

21.1

46.5% Standard error 6.33 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Scizor-Mega U-turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 324-384 (89 - 105.4%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO

View Scizor-Mega counters →

Ranked #8 with 14.68% usage. Sorted by conservative score.