Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Chansey
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
88.124
78.9%
Standard error 7.21 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Eviolite Chansey in Sun: 190-225 (26.9 - 31.9%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
02
Latias-Mega
DragonPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
82.63
74.6%
Standard error 7.92 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Latias-Mega in Sun: 110-130 (30.2 - 35.7%) -- 37.7% chance to 3HKO
03
Toxapex
PoisonWater
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
188.599
61.9%
Standard error 6.10 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex in Sun: 114-135 (37.5 - 44.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Black Sludge recovery
04
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
78.745
55.4%
Standard error 9.63 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Electric Terrain: 330-393 (91.6 - 109.1%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
05
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
30.768
52.6%
Standard error 9.00 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Tapu Lele Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Charizard-Mega-Y in Psychic Terrain: 397-468 (110.2 - 130%) -- guaranteed OHKO
06
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
117.238
47.5%
Standard error 7.85 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Sun: 164-194 (45.5 - 53.8%) -- 41.4% chance to 2HKO
07
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.417
47.3%
Standard error 9.71 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Sun: 133-157 (36.9 - 43.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
08
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.559
48.3%
Standard error 11.02 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega Thunder Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Charizard-Mega-Y: 368-434 (102.2 - 120.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
09
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
207.057
20.5%
Standard error 4.85 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Stone Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Charizard-Mega-Y: 636-752 (176.6 - 208.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
10
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.926
30.6%
Standard error 8.88 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Waterfall vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Charizard-Mega-Y in Sun: 194-230 (53.8 - 63.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
11
Heatran
FireSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
87.676
23.7%
Standard error 7.78 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Sun: 88-104 (24.4 - 28.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after trapping damage
12
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
74.45
17.0%
Standard error 6.14 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y: 115-136 (31.9 - 37.7%) -- 92.8% chance to 3HKO
13
Magearna
SteelFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.002
6.8%
Standard error 3.91 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y: 142-168 (39.4 - 46.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
14
Skarmory
SteelFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.793
2.6%
Standard error 3.28 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Charizard-Mega-Y: 192-226 (53.3 - 62.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
90.774
6.1%
Standard error 4.33 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Knock Off vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Charizard-Mega-Y: 77-91 (21.3 - 25.2%) -- 0.1% chance to 4HKO
16
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.769
25.9%
Standard error 9.39 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y: 45-54 (12.5 - 15%) -- possible 7HKO
17
Pelipper
WaterFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.834
10.0%
Standard error 5.54 points
▾
0- SpA Pelipper Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y in Rain: 168-198 (46.6 - 55%) -- 64.8% chance to 2HKO
18
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
48.347
13.6%
Standard error 6.92 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Facade vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Charizard-Mega-Y: 84-99 (23.3 - 27.5%) -- 75.2% chance to 4HKO
19
Tapu Fini
WaterFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.528
15.4%
Standard error 7.77 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Fini Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Charizard-Mega-Y: 170-204 (47.2 - 56.6%) -- 82% chance to 2HKO
Ranked #39 with 4.99% usage. Sorted by conservative score.