Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
120.703
84.9%
Standard error 5.55 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 324-384 (97 - 114.9%) -- 81.3% chance to OHKO (guaranteed OHKO after trapping damage)
02
Latias-Mega
DragonPsychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
73.571
82.5%
Standard error 5.55 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Latias-Mega: 99-117 (27.1 - 32.1%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
03
Greninja
WaterDark
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
124.772
79.9%
Standard error 6.08 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Greninja Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 228-268 (68.2 - 80.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Tapu Fini
WaterFairy
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
31.101
80.7%
Standard error 7.08 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Tapu Fini: 102-121 (29.6 - 35.1%) -- guaranteed 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Celesteela
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.019
77.6%
Standard error 8.33 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Celesteela: 54-65 (13.5 - 16.3%)
06
Rotom-Wash
ElectricWater
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
34.932
66.8%
Standard error 7.97 points
▾
252+ SpA Rotom-Wash Thunder vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 306-362 (91.6 - 108.3%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
07
Tapu Koko
ElectricFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
84.405
67.0%
Standard error 8.64 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Tapu Koko Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory in Electric Terrain: 460-541 (137.7 - 161.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO
08
Magearna
SteelFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
105.929
63.5%
Standard error 7.86 points
▾
252+ SpA Magearna Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 194-230 (58 - 68.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
98.359
64.5%
Standard error 8.28 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Heat Wave vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 182-216 (54.4 - 64.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
10
Medicham-Mega
FightingPsychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.207
62.9%
Standard error 9.62 points
▾
252+ Atk Pure Power Medicham-Mega High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 289-342 (86.5 - 102.3%) -- 18.8% chance to OHKO
11
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.793
63.4%
Standard error 9.87 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory in Sun: 732-864 (219.1 - 258.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
117.256
50.5%
Standard error 7.77 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 70-83 (20.9 - 24.8%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
13
Sableye-Mega
DarkGhost
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.445
56.1%
Standard error 9.84 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Sableye-Mega: 96-114 (31.5 - 37.5%) -- 85.7% chance to 3HKO
14
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
107.044
46.3%
Standard error 8.29 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 75-88 (22.4 - 26.3%) -- 12.5% chance to 4HKO
15
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
99.418
36.5%
Standard error 7.84 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 62-73 (18.5 - 21.8%) -- possible 5HKO
16
Zapdos
ElectricFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.516
43.4%
Standard error 10.22 points
▾
252+ SpA Zapdos Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory: 284-336 (85 - 100.5%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO
17
Skarmory
SteelFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
41.745
43.6%
Standard error 10.85 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 58-69 (17.3 - 20.6%) -- possible 5HKO
18
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
194.734
18.3%
Standard error 4.78 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 121-142 (36.2 - 42.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
19
Kartana
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
72.176
27.1%
Standard error 7.31 points
▾
252+ Atk Kartana Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 112-132 (33.5 - 39.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
20
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.627
37.4%
Standard error 9.95 points
▾
Ditto vs. Skarmory: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
21
Swampert-Mega
WaterGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.773
21.6%
Standard error 6.29 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert-Mega Waterfall vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 120-142 (35.9 - 42.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
22
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
190.9
13.3%
Standard error 4.23 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 70-83 (20.9 - 24.8%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
23
Pelipper
WaterFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.083
39.1%
Standard error 10.89 points
▾
0- SpA Pelipper Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Skarmory in Rain: 114-135 (34.1 - 40.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
24
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
76.602
19.4%
Standard error 6.22 points
▾
Chansey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Skarmory: 100-100 (29.9 - 29.9%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
25
Hippowdon
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.992
28.4%
Standard error 9.21 points
▾
252+ Atk Hippowdon Stone Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 81-96 (24.2 - 28.7%) -- 98.9% chance to 4HKO
26
Excadrill
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
72.091
24.0%
Standard error 8.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Excadrill Rock Slide vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Skarmory: 69-82 (20.6 - 24.5%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
Ranked #29 with 6.90% usage. Sorted by conservative score.