Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Muk-Alola
PoisonDark
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
70.425
86.9%
Standard error 4.03 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Flutter Mane Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Muk-Alola: 189-223 (45.6 - 53.8%) -- 3.9% chance to 2HKO after Black Sludge recovery
02
Goodra-Hisui
SteelDragon
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
195.647
77.8%
Standard error 4.81 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Flutter Mane Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Goodra-Hisui: 142-168 (39 - 46.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
03
Ceruledge
FireGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.665
67.9%
Standard error 9.22 points
▾
252+ Atk Ceruledge Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 620-732 (197.4 - 233.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
04
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
66.041
59.3%
Standard error 8.49 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Flutter Mane Thunder vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Corviknight: 326-384 (81.5 - 96%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
05
Clodsire
PoisonGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
38.844
56.8%
Standard error 7.95 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Flutter Mane Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Clodsire: 446-526 (96.1 - 113.3%) -- 75% chance to OHKO
06
Dragapult
DragonGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.44
51.4%
Standard error 7.69 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragapult Phantom Force vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 492-582 (156.6 - 185.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
07
Flutter Mane
GhostFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
42.906
50.0%
Standard error 7.63 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Flutter Mane Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Flutter Mane: 258-306 (82.1 - 97.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
08
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
98.128
51.5%
Standard error 8.32 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 234-276 (74.5 - 87.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Samurott-Hisui
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
37.617
49.5%
Standard error 8.15 points
▾
252+ Atk Sharpness Samurott-Hisui Razor Shell vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 285-336 (90.7 - 107%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO
10
Heatran
FireSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
58.648
41.9%
Standard error 9.07 points
▾
0- Atk Heatran Heavy Slam (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 342-404 (108.9 - 128.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
11
Iron Treads
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.935
46.2%
Standard error 10.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Iron Treads Heavy Slam (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 626-740 (199.3 - 235.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Meowscarada
GrassDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
75.333
28.7%
Standard error 6.77 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Protean Meowscarada Triple Axel (120 BP) (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 464-550 (147.7 - 175.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
13
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
73.627
28.7%
Standard error 7.05 points
▾
0- Atk Toxapex Poison Jab vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 85-102 (27 - 32.4%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
14
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
34.453
26.2%
Standard error 7.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Ting-Lu Heavy Slam (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 412-486 (131.2 - 154.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
15
Archaludon
SteelDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
84.317
16.5%
Standard error 5.52 points
▾
0- SpA Archaludon Flash Cannon vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Flutter Mane: 110-132 (35 - 42%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
16
Greninja
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.772
18.0%
Standard error 5.96 points
▾
252+ SpA Greninja Hydro Pump vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Flutter Mane: 99-117 (31.5 - 37.2%) -- 80.2% chance to 3HKO
17
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
47.894
28.7%
Standard error 9.02 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Make It Rain vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Flutter Mane: 254-302 (80.8 - 96.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
18
Roaring Moon
DragonDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.232
25.2%
Standard error 8.18 points
▾
252+ Atk Roaring Moon Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 326-384 (103.8 - 122.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
19
Landorus
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
62.777
20.5%
Standard error 7.09 points
▾
0- Atk Life Orb Sheer Force Landorus Rock Slide vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 161-190 (51.2 - 60.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
20
Raging Bolt
ElectricDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.432
20.6%
Standard error 8.36 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Flutter Mane: 99-117 (31.5 - 37.2%) -- 80.2% chance to 3HKO
21
Mandibuzz
DarkFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.408
4.2%
Standard error 4.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Mandibuzz Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 222-262 (70.7 - 83.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
22
Hoopa-Unbound
PsychicDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.722
19.2%
Standard error 8.26 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Hoopa-Unbound Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 424-501 (135 - 159.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
23
Swampert
WaterGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
24.288
13.7%
Standard error 6.99 points
▾
252+ Atk Swampert Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 258-304 (82.1 - 96.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
24
Skarmory
SteelFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
44.179
6.4%
Standard error 5.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Skarmory Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 252-297 (80.2 - 94.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
25
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
41.594
19.7%
Standard error 8.71 points
▾
0- Atk Tornadus-Therian Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 102-120 (32.4 - 38.2%) -- 97.5% chance to 3HKO
26
Hippowdon
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.788
8.6%
Standard error 6.15 points
▾
252+ Atk Hippowdon Heavy Slam (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Flutter Mane: 418-494 (133.1 - 157.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
Ranked #9 with 12.77% usage. Sorted by conservative score.