Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Diancie-Mega
RockFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
26.806
94.4%
Standard error 4.46 points
▾
0- Atk Diancie-Mega Diamond Storm vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 640-756 (166.6 - 196.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
100.809
86.4%
Standard error 5.78 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 444-524 (115.6 - 136.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO
03
Garchomp
DragonGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
62.659
78.6%
Standard error 7.30 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Stone Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 524-620 (136.4 - 161.4%) -- guaranteed OHKO
04
Raging Bolt
ElectricDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
95.655
77.4%
Standard error 7.24 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Raging Bolt Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 404-476 (105.2 - 123.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO
05
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
44.317
80.8%
Standard error 8.21 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Power Gem vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 308-364 (80.2 - 94.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Dragonite
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
67.995
75.5%
Standard error 7.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Outrage vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 241-285 (62.7 - 74.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Kyurem
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
65.603
74.7%
Standard error 7.53 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyurem Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 129-153 (33.5 - 39.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
08
Gliscor
GroundFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
177.514
68.0%
Standard error 5.92 points
▾
252+ SpA Moltres Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Gliscor: 166-196 (46.8 - 55.3%) -- 71.1% chance to 2HKO
09
Toxapex
PoisonWater
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
105.956
69.9%
Standard error 7.36 points
▾
252+ SpA Moltres Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 109-129 (35.8 - 42.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
10
Zamazenta
Fighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
147.842
61.3%
Standard error 6.73 points
▾
252+ Atk Zamazenta Stone Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 496-584 (129.1 - 152%) -- guaranteed OHKO
11
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
62.909
61.8%
Standard error 8.60 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Future Sight vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres in Psychic Terrain: 225-265 (58.5 - 69%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Terapagos
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
64.938
61.1%
Standard error 8.53 points
▾
252+ SpA Moltres Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Terapagos: 153-181 (39.8 - 47.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
13
Zapdos
ElectricFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
38.91
58.0%
Standard error 7.91 points
▾
252+ SpA Zapdos Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 254-300 (66.1 - 78.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
14
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
48.317
62.5%
Standard error 9.84 points
▾
252+ SpA Moltres Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Vessel of Ruin Ting-Lu: 120-142 (23.3 - 27.6%) -- possible 5HKO
15
Venusaur-Mega
GrassPoison
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.582
50.3%
Standard error 7.69 points
▾
252+ SpA Venusaur-Mega Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 124-147 (32.2 - 38.2%) -- 97.2% chance to 3HKO
16
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.02
59.7%
Standard error 10.70 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 141-166 (36.7 - 43.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
17
Volcarona
BugFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
36.306
47.2%
Standard error 8.29 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Psychic vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 89-105 (23.1 - 27.3%) -- 60.9% chance to 4HKO
18
Urshifu-Rapid-Strike
FightingWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
27.219
51.3%
Standard error 9.58 points
▾
252+ Atk Urshifu-Rapid-Strike Surging Strikes (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres on a critical hit: 456-540 (118.7 - 140.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
19
Charizard-Mega-Y
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
88.989
48.5%
Standard error 8.91 points
▾
252+ SpA Charizard-Mega-Y Ancient Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 272-320 (70.8 - 83.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
20
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
91.964
41.0%
Standard error 7.18 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Stone Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 568-672 (147.9 - 175%) -- guaranteed OHKO
21
Hatterene
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.967
53.6%
Standard error 10.41 points
▾
252+ SpA Hatterene Psychic Noise vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 112-133 (29.1 - 34.6%) -- 7.6% chance to 3HKO
22
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
216.164
31.1%
Standard error 5.38 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Flip Turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 164-194 (42.7 - 50.5%) -- 1.6% chance to 2HKO
23
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
164.397
32.7%
Standard error 6.24 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Moltres: 118-139 (30.7 - 36.1%) -- 51.5% chance to 3HKO
24
Great Tusk
GroundFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
149.125
30.7%
Standard error 6.29 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Head Smash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 792-932 (206.2 - 242.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
25
Kingambit
DarkSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
127.226
33.3%
Standard error 7.07 points
▾
252+ Atk Black Glasses Kingambit Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 237-279 (61.7 - 72.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
26
Iron Valiant
FairyFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
70.176
43.5%
Standard error 10.13 points
▾
252+ Atk Iron Valiant Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 127-150 (33 - 39%) -- 99.9% chance to 3HKO
27
Melmetal
Steel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
98.957
26.2%
Standard error 7.61 points
▾
252+ Atk Punching Glove Iron Fist Melmetal Thunder Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 278-328 (72.3 - 85.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
28
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
99.884
12.2%
Standard error 4.56 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor-Mega Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 141-167 (36.7 - 43.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
29
Iron Treads
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
102.859
20.0%
Standard error 6.66 points
▾
252+ Atk Iron Treads Rock Tomb vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 284-336 (73.9 - 87.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
30
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
141.559
8.6%
Standard error 3.82 points
▾
252+ Atk Corviknight Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Moltres: 180-213 (46.8 - 55.4%) -- 72.7% chance to 2HKO
Ranked #40 with 4.95% usage. Sorted by conservative score.