Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Hoopa-Unbound
PsychicDark
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
32.671
93.1%
Standard error 4.43 points
▾
252+ Atk Hoopa-Unbound Hyperspace Fury vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 145-172 (47.6 - 56.5%) -- 87.5% chance to 2HKO
02
Kyurem
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
290.414
81.0%
Standard error 3.79 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyurem Freeze-Dry vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 144-170 (47.3 - 55.9%) -- 78.5% chance to 2HKO
03
Ursaluna
GroundNormal
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
60.548
88.5%
Standard error 5.80 points
▾
252+ Atk Ursaluna Headlong Rush vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 318-374 (104.6 - 123%) -- guaranteed OHKO
04
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
453.893
75.9%
Standard error 3.43 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 84-99 (27.6 - 32.5%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
05
Hatterene
PsychicFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
182.748
76.6%
Standard error 5.16 points
▾
252+ SpA Hatterene Psychic Noise vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 158-188 (51.9 - 61.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Melmetal
Steel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
245.982
71.8%
Standard error 4.83 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Melmetal: 78-93 (16.4 - 19.6%) -- possible 6HKO
07
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
207.151
71.9%
Standard error 5.33 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Future Sight vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex in Psychic Terrain: 314-372 (103.2 - 122.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
08
Gengar
GhostPoison
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
24.486
81.8%
Standard error 7.80 points
▾
252+ SpA Gengar Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 81-96 (26.6 - 31.5%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
09
Dragonite
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
178.636
72.4%
Standard error 5.78 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 170-202 (55.9 - 66.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
10
Raging Bolt
ElectricDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
305.567
67.1%
Standard error 4.59 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Raging Bolt Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 284-336 (93.4 - 110.5%) -- 56.3% chance to OHKO
11
Garchomp
DragonGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
140.486
72.6%
Standard error 6.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 252-296 (82.8 - 97.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Venusaur-Mega
GrassPoison
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
210.762
67.4%
Standard error 5.50 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Venusaur-Mega: 58-70 (15.9 - 19.2%) -- possible 6HKO
13
Hydrapple
GrassDragon
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
35.872
74.3%
Standard error 7.29 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Hydrapple: 152-182 (36.5 - 43.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
14
Gliscor
GroundFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
753.101
55.1%
Standard error 3.08 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Gliscor: 144-170 (40.6 - 48%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
15
Latios-Mega
DragonPsychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
120.515
69.5%
Standard error 6.75 points
▾
252+ SpA Latios-Mega Luster Purge vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 224-266 (73.6 - 87.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
16
Kingambit
DarkSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
264.381
61.0%
Standard error 5.09 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kingambit: 67-79 (16.5 - 19.5%) -- possible 6HKO
17
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
176.293
60.2%
Standard error 6.37 points
▾
0- Atk Toxapex Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 34-41 (9.6 - 11.6%) -- possible 9HKO
18
Great Tusk
GroundFighting
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
219.305
55.9%
Standard error 5.66 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 174-206 (40 - 47.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
19
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
180.151
57.9%
Standard error 6.27 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 122-144 (40.1 - 47.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
20
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
321.06
51.2%
Standard error 4.74 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 169-201 (55.5 - 66.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
21
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
138.868
55.7%
Standard error 5.96 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Scald vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Vessel of Ruin Ting-Lu: 102-122 (19.8 - 23.7%) -- possible 6HKO
22
Slowking-Galar
PoisonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
295.031
50.0%
Standard error 4.98 points
▾
252+ SpA Slowking-Galar Future Sight vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 216-254 (71 - 83.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
23
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
243.907
51.1%
Standard error 5.38 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 270-320 (88.8 - 105.2%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO
24
Volcarona
BugFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
186.946
53.9%
Standard error 6.12 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Psychic vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 124-148 (40.7 - 48.6%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
25
Charizard-Mega-X
FireDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
157.87
55.6%
Standard error 6.76 points
▾
252+ Atk Tough Claws Charizard-Mega-X Outrage vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 195-229 (64.1 - 75.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
26
Diancie-Mega
RockFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
140.91
55.6%
Standard error 7.01 points
▾
252+ SpA Diancie-Mega Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 142-168 (46.7 - 55.2%) -- 68.8% chance to 2HKO
27
Zapdos
ElectricFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
256.462
48.7%
Standard error 5.34 points
▾
252+ SpA Zapdos Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 176-210 (57.8 - 69%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
28
Terapagos
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
266.54
47.6%
Standard error 5.24 points
▾
0- SpA Terapagos Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Toxapex: 46-56 (15.1 - 18.4%) -- possible 6HKO
29
Tapu Fini
WaterFairy
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
90.345
55.3%
Standard error 7.35 points
▾
252+ SpA Toxapex Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Tapu Fini: 114-134 (33.1 - 38.9%) -- 8.6% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
30
Iron Treads
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
193.534
48.3%
Standard error 6.08 points
▾
252+ Atk Iron Treads Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Toxapex: 224-266 (73.6 - 87.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #22 with 9.09% usage. Sorted by conservative score.