Is Ogerpon-Hearthflame viable in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

Ogerpon-Hearthflame is ranked #9 in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3 with 22.46% usage according to Smogon Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 data.

What beats Ogerpon-Hearthflame in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike has the strongest conservative score in this observed Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 sample. The target was knocked out or switched out in 45.1% of 61.573938745487474 relevant encounters. Standard error is 6.3 points. Sets and switch conditions can change the result.

How are Ogerpon-Hearthflame matchup checks ranked in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

They are ranked by p minus four standard errors. Here, p is the observed fraction of relevant encounters where Ogerpon-Hearthflame was knocked out or switched out. This is not a set-specific battle guarantee.

Ogerpon-Hearthflame counters

Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3 · Sorted by p − 4 standard errors · Smogon source period Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 · Generated 2026-05-27

#1017 Ogerpon-Hearthflame

GrassFire

USAGE 22.5% #9

BASE STATS

HP 80

ATK 120

DEF 84

SPA 60

SPD 96

SPE 110

BST550

TYPE MATCHUPS

2×

PoisonFlyingRock

½×

ElectricSteelFairy

¼×

Grass

Moves

Ivy Cudgel 100.0% Spiky Shield 99.6% Follow Me 65.9% Wood Hammer 56.6% Grassy Glide 42.6% Swords Dance 24.3% Focus Energy 4.4% Stomping Tantrum 3.0%

Items

Hearthflame Mask 100.0%

Tera Types

Fire 100.0%

Common Teammates

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike77.6%

Leading observed checks

Open a matchup for a separate set-based damage estimate, or browse uploaded teams with both Pokémon.

Checks & Counters

Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.

How to read this table

Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.

# Checker Encounters Conservative score Target KO or switch rate

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike

FightingWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

61.574

19.7

45.1% Standard error 6.34 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Mystic Water Urshifu-Rapid-Strike Surging Strikes (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Hearthflame on a critical hit: 153-180 (81.8 - 96.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Urshifu-Rapid-Strike counters →

Incineroar

FireDark SOFT CHECK View matchup

120.262

18.9

36.5% Standard error 4.39 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 118-141 (63.1 - 75.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Incineroar counters →

Flutter Mane

GhostFairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

49.693

7.9

34.9% Standard error 6.76 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Flutter Mane Power Gem vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 78-92 (41.7 - 49.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Flutter Mane counters →

Raging Bolt

ElectricDragon SOFT CHECK View matchup

31.593

6.7

41.8% Standard error 8.77 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 94-112 (50.2 - 59.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Raging Bolt counters →

Ogerpon-Wellspring

GrassWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

26.81

3.1

41.1% Standard error 9.50 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 123-145 (65.7 - 77.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ogerpon-Wellspring counters →

Ogerpon-Hearthflame

GrassFire SOFT CHECK View matchup

22.955

0.8

42.1% Standard error 10.30 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon-Hearthflame Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 123-145 (65.7 - 77.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ogerpon-Hearthflame counters →

Farigiraf

NormalPsychic SOFT CHECK View matchup

20.219

-0.2

44.0% Standard error 11.04 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Farigiraf Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 78-93 (41.7 - 49.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Farigiraf counters →

Rillaboom

Grass SOFT CHECK View matchup

35.501

-1.0

29.7% Standard error 7.67 points

DAMAGE CALCGrassy Terrain

252+ Atk Rillaboom High Horsepower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 67-79 (35.8 - 42.2%) -- 92.4% chance to 3HKO after Grassy Terrain recovery

View Rillaboom counters →

Landorus

GroundFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

28.024

-1.4

34.6% Standard error 8.98 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Life Orb Sheer Force Landorus Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 133-156 (71.1 - 83.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Landorus counters →

Amoonguss

GrassPoison SOFT CHECK View matchup

37.592

-6.5

19.1% Standard error 6.42 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Amoonguss Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 96-114 (51.3 - 60.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Amoonguss counters →

Tornadus

Flying SOFT CHECK View matchup

22.141

-9.2

29.5% Standard error 9.70 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Tornadus Bleakwind Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Hearthflame: 134-162 (71.6 - 86.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Tornadus counters →

Indeedee-F

PsychicNormal SOFT CHECK View matchup

21.603

-9.6

29.8% Standard error 9.84 points

DAMAGE CALCPsychic Terrain

252+ SpA Indeedee-F Psychic vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Hearthflame in Psychic Terrain: 67-79 (35.8 - 42.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Indeedee-F counters →

Ranked #9 with 22.46% usage. Sorted by conservative score.