Is Raging Bolt viable in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

Raging Bolt is ranked #4 in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3 with 32.30% usage according to Smogon Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 data.

What beats Raging Bolt in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike has the strongest conservative score in this observed Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 sample. The target was knocked out or switched out in 46.6% of 123.07522964554309 relevant encounters. Standard error is 4.5 points. Sets and switch conditions can change the result.

How are Raging Bolt matchup checks ranked in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

They are ranked by p minus four standard errors. Here, p is the observed fraction of relevant encounters where Raging Bolt was knocked out or switched out. This is not a set-specific battle guarantee.

Raging Bolt counters

Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3 · Sorted by p − 4 standard errors · Smogon source period Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 · Generated 2026-05-27

#1021 Raging Bolt

ElectricDragon

USAGE 32.3% #4

BASE STATS

HP 125

ATK 73

DEF 91

SPA 137

SPD 89

SPE 75

BST590

TYPE MATCHUPS

2×

IceGroundDragonFairy

½×

FireWaterGrassFlyingSteel

¼×

Electric

Moves

Thunderclap 99.4% Dragon Pulse 72.7% Protect 62.7% Calm Mind 46.0% Thunderbolt 37.5% Electroweb 34.1% Draco Meteor 25.3% Snarl 17.1%

Items

Assault Vest 36.8% Booster Energy 32.6% Leftovers 19.3% Life Orb 5.9% Magnet 2.5% Grassy Seed 1.5% Safety Goggles 0.5% Shuca Berry 0.4%

Tera Types

Fairy 70.7% Electric 23.7% Bug 2.3% Fire 1.0% Grass 0.7% Steel 0.6% Ghost 0.4% Water 0.3%

Common Teammates

Incineroar70.8%

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike62.2%

Ogerpon-Hearthflame28.5%

Ogerpon-Wellspring24.1%

Leading observed checks

Open a matchup for a separate set-based damage estimate, or browse uploaded teams with both Pokémon.

Checks & Counters

Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.

How to read this table

Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.

# Checker Encounters Conservative score Target KO or switch rate

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike

FightingWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

123.075

28.6

46.6% Standard error 4.50 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Urshifu-Rapid-Strike Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 123-145 (53 - 62.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Urshifu-Rapid-Strike counters →

Regidrago

Dragon OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

29.001

24.8

61.0% Standard error 9.06 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Life Orb Dragon's Maw Regidrago Dragon Energy (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Raging Bolt: 242-283 (104.3 - 121.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Regidrago counters →

Landorus

GroundFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

43.536

22.6

52.9% Standard error 7.57 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Life Orb Sheer Force Landorus Sandsear Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Raging Bolt: 151-182 (65 - 78.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Landorus counters →

Dragonite

DragonFlying OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

24.493

20.9

60.4% Standard error 9.88 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Choice Band Dragonite Outrage vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 372-440 (160.3 - 189.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Dragonite counters →

Incineroar

FireDark SOFT CHECK View matchup

119.896

20.6

38.3% Standard error 4.44 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Incineroar Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 91-108 (39.2 - 46.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Incineroar counters →

Amoonguss

GrassPoison SOFT CHECK View matchup

46.325

19.4

48.8% Standard error 7.34 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Amoonguss Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Raging Bolt: 33-40 (14.2 - 17.2%) -- possible 6HKO

View Amoonguss counters →

Flutter Mane

GhostFairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

55.459

18.1

44.8% Standard error 6.68 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Flutter Mane Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Raging Bolt: 96-114 (41.3 - 49.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Flutter Mane counters →

Rillaboom

Grass SOFT CHECK View matchup

35.443

15.8

49.4% Standard error 8.40 points

DAMAGE CALCGrassy Terrain

252+ Atk Rillaboom High Horsepower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 126-150 (54.3 - 64.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Grassy Terrain recovery

View Rillaboom counters →

Ogerpon-Hearthflame

GrassFire SOFT CHECK View matchup

31.593

14.3

49.9% Standard error 8.90 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Hearthflame Mask Ogerpon-Hearthflame Stomping Tantrum vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 116-138 (50 - 59.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ogerpon-Hearthflame counters →

Urshifu

FightingDark SOFT CHECK View matchup

24.569

12.1

52.4% Standard error 10.08 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Choice Band Urshifu Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 183-216 (78.8 - 93.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Urshifu counters →

Ogerpon-Wellspring

GrassWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

33.166

11.6

46.3% Standard error 8.66 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 69-81 (29.7 - 34.9%) -- 14.6% chance to 3HKO

View Ogerpon-Wellspring counters →

Raging Bolt

ElectricDragon SOFT CHECK View matchup

29.018

7.3

44.2% Standard error 9.22 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Raging Bolt: 134-158 (57.7 - 68.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Raging Bolt counters →

Indeedee-F

PsychicNormal SOFT CHECK View matchup

28.145

-1.3

34.5% Standard error 8.96 points

DAMAGE CALCPsychic Terrain

252+ SpA Indeedee-F Psychic vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Raging Bolt in Psychic Terrain: 46-55 (19.8 - 23.7%) -- possible 5HKO

View Indeedee-F counters →

Tornadus

Flying SOFT CHECK View matchup

28.709

-8.0

23.8% Standard error 7.95 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Tornadus Icy Wind vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Assault Vest Raging Bolt: 36-44 (15.5 - 18.9%) -- possible 6HKO

View Tornadus counters →

Ranked #4 with 32.30% usage. Sorted by conservative score.