Is Ogerpon-Wellspring viable in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

Ogerpon-Wellspring is ranked #11 in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3 with 19.54% usage according to Smogon Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 data.

What beats Ogerpon-Wellspring in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike has the strongest conservative score in this observed Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 sample. The target was knocked out or switched out in 43.5% of 121.90046850612394 relevant encounters. Standard error is 4.5 points. Sets and switch conditions can change the result.

How are Ogerpon-Wellspring matchup checks ranked in Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3?

They are ranked by p minus four standard errors. Here, p is the observed fraction of relevant encounters where Ogerpon-Wellspring was knocked out or switched out. This is not a set-specific battle guarantee.

Ogerpon-Wellspring counters

Gen 9 VGC 2026 Regulation F Best of 3 · Sorted by p − 4 standard errors · Smogon source period Feb 2026 - Apr 2026 · Generated 2026-05-27

#1017 Ogerpon-Wellspring

GrassWater

USAGE 19.5% #11

BASE STATS

HP 80

ATK 120

DEF 84

SPA 60

SPD 96

SPE 110

BST550

TYPE MATCHUPS

2×

PoisonFlyingBug

½×

GroundSteel

¼×

Water

Moves

Ivy Cudgel 100.0% Spiky Shield 100.0% Follow Me 97.4% Horn Leech 77.7% Wood Hammer 18.0% Power Whip 3.0% Encore 1.6% Swords Dance 1.1%

Items

Wellspring Mask 100.0%

Tera Types

Water 100.0%

Common Teammates

Leading observed checks

Open a matchup for a separate set-based damage estimate, or browse uploaded teams with both Pokémon.

Checks & Counters

Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.

How to read this table

Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.

# Checker Encounters Conservative score Target KO or switch rate

Urshifu-Rapid-Strike

FightingWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

121.9

25.5

43.5% Standard error 4.49 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Urshifu-Rapid-Strike Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 130-154 (69.5 - 82.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Urshifu-Rapid-Strike counters →

Chien-Pao

DarkIce SOFT CHECK View matchup

49.832

24.0

52.3% Standard error 7.08 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Icicle Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 117-138 (62.5 - 73.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Chien-Pao counters →

Gholdengo

SteelGhost OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

24.619

19.1

58.8% Standard error 9.92 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 58-69 (31 - 36.8%) -- 65.4% chance to 3HKO

View Gholdengo counters →

Ursaluna

GroundNormal OFFENSIVE CHECK View matchup

28.362

18.6

55.9% Standard error 9.32 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Ursaluna Facade vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 81-96 (43.3 - 51.3%) -- 5.5% chance to 2HKO

View Ursaluna counters →

Rillaboom

Grass SOFT CHECK View matchup

53.277

16.9

44.1% Standard error 6.80 points

DAMAGE CALCGrassy Terrain

252+ Atk Rillaboom Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring in Grassy Terrain: 165-195 (88.2 - 104.2%) -- 25% chance to OHKO

View Rillaboom counters →

Ogerpon-Wellspring

GrassWater SOFT CHECK View matchup

39.085

15.2

47.2% Standard error 7.98 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 148-175 (79.1 - 93.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ogerpon-Wellspring counters →

Incineroar

FireDark SOFT CHECK View matchup

127.404

13.8

30.1% Standard error 4.06 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Incineroar Flare Blitz vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 118-141 (63.1 - 75.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Incineroar counters →

Landorus

GroundFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

45.642

12.1

41.2% Standard error 7.29 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Life Orb Sheer Force Landorus Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 133-156 (71.1 - 83.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Landorus counters →

Flutter Mane

GhostFairy SOFT CHECK View matchup

50.307

10.6

38.0% Standard error 6.84 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Flutter Mane Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 67-81 (35.8 - 43.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO

View Flutter Mane counters →

Raging Bolt

ElectricDragon SOFT CHECK View matchup

33.166

5.5

39.5% Standard error 8.49 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 94-112 (50.2 - 59.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Raging Bolt counters →

Amoonguss

GrassPoison SOFT CHECK View matchup

43.102

4.8

33.5% Standard error 7.19 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Amoonguss Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 96-114 (51.3 - 60.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Amoonguss counters →

Ogerpon-Hearthflame

GrassFire SOFT CHECK View matchup

26.81

1.2

38.9% Standard error 9.42 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Hearthflame Mask Mold Breaker Ogerpon-Hearthflame Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 148-175 (79.1 - 93.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Ogerpon-Hearthflame counters →

Tornadus

Flying SOFT CHECK View matchup

26.138

-5.2

31.0% Standard error 9.05 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ SpA Tornadus Bleakwind Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon-Wellspring: 134-162 (71.6 - 86.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO

View Tornadus counters →

Dragonite

DragonFlying SOFT CHECK View matchup

20.951

-7.1

34.4% Standard error 10.37 points

DAMAGE CALC

252+ Atk Choice Band Dragonite Aerial Ace vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon-Wellspring: 200-236 (106.9 - 126.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO

View Dragonite counters →

Ranked #11 with 19.54% usage. Sorted by conservative score.