Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Great Tusk
GroundFighting
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
32.146
78.0%
Standard error 7.31 points
▾
252+ Atk Libero Cinderace High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Great Tusk: 129-153 (29.7 - 35.2%) -- 14.8% chance to 3HKO
02
Zamazenta
Fighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
96.042
76.2%
Standard error 7.44 points
▾
252+ Atk Zamazenta Stone Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 288-340 (79.1 - 93.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Toxapex
PoisonWater
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
56.745
73.7%
Standard error 8.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Libero Cinderace Sucker Punch vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Toxapex: 63-75 (20.7 - 24.6%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
04
Garchomp
DragonGround
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
47.494
70.6%
Standard error 9.33 points
▾
252+ Atk Garchomp Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 456-536 (125.2 - 147.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
05
Gliscor
GroundFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
86.428
63.8%
Standard error 8.60 points
▾
252+ Atk Cinderace Pyro Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Gliscor: 123-145 (34.7 - 40.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
06
Urshifu-Rapid-Strike
FightingWater
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
21.175
58.0%
Standard error 10.73 points
▾
252+ Atk Urshifu-Rapid-Strike Surging Strikes (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace on a critical hit: 522-618 (143.4 - 169.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
07
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.011
50.8%
Standard error 9.80 points
▾
0- Atk Clefable Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 60-71 (16.4 - 19.5%) -- possible 6HKO
08
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
88.477
37.5%
Standard error 7.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 492-582 (135.1 - 159.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
09
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.548
49.7%
Standard error 10.53 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cinderace: 153-180 (42 - 49.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
10
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
232.414
23.4%
Standard error 4.75 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Flip Turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 188-224 (51.6 - 61.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
11
Kyurem
DragonIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
50.071
42.3%
Standard error 9.85 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyurem Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cinderace: 188-222 (51.6 - 60.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Volcarona
BugFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.296
44.2%
Standard error 10.52 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Psychic vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cinderace: 96-114 (26.3 - 31.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
13
Kingambit
DarkSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
78.901
36.9%
Standard error 9.27 points
▾
252+ Atk Black Glasses Kingambit Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 273-322 (75 - 88.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
14
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
154.419
20.7%
Standard error 5.57 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cinderace: 127-150 (34.8 - 41.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
15
Zapdos
ElectricFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
58.901
29.7%
Standard error 8.20 points
▾
252+ SpA Zapdos Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cinderace: 166-196 (45.6 - 53.8%) -- 44.9% chance to 2HKO
16
Tapu Lele
PsychicFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
41.519
37.9%
Standard error 10.29 points
▾
252+ SpA Tapu Lele Future Sight vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cinderace in Psychic Terrain: 243-286 (66.7 - 78.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
17
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
72.692
30.9%
Standard error 9.27 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 516-608 (141.7 - 167%) -- guaranteed OHKO
18
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
73.868
14.4%
Standard error 5.53 points
▾
252+ Atk Corviknight Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 208-246 (57.1 - 67.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
19
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
29.052
3.5%
Standard error 3.39 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 118-139 (32.4 - 38.1%) -- 97% chance to 3HKO
20
Scizor-Mega
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
56.015
16.4%
Standard error 6.87 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor-Mega Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 203-239 (55.7 - 65.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
21
Melmetal
Steel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.051
28.1%
Standard error 10.04 points
▾
252+ Atk Melmetal Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Cinderace: 328-386 (90.1 - 106%) -- 37.5% chance to OHKO
Ranked #46 with 3.95% usage. Sorted by conservative score.