Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Kingambit
DarkSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
329.018
73.2%
Standard error 4.21 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kingambit: 480-568 (118.8 - 140.5%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
1,110.774
60.2%
Standard error 2.54 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Crunch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 352-416 (73.6 - 87%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
1,161.426
58.9%
Standard error 2.49 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 192-226 (43.2 - 50.9%) -- 3.1% chance to 2HKO
04
Calyrex-Ice
PsychicIce
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
655.03
56.3%
Standard error 3.34 points
▾
+1 252+ SpA Lunala Meteor Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Calyrex-Ice: 270-318 (66.8 - 78.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
05
Arceus-Ground
Ground
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
375.469
56.8%
Standard error 4.39 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Ground: 127-151 (28.6 - 34%) -- 0.9% chance to 3HKO
06
Kyogre
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,505.356
46.0%
Standard error 2.22 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Kyogre Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala in Rain: 231-272 (48.3 - 56.9%) -- 91.8% chance to 2HKO
07
Lunala
PsychicGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
771.382
49.5%
Standard error 3.11 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Moongeist Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 258-306 (53.9 - 64%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
08
Ursaluna
GroundNormal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
164.196
54.8%
Standard error 5.29 points
▾
252+ Atk Ursaluna Shadow Claw vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 196-232 (41 - 48.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
09
Wo-Chien
DarkGrass
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
62.543
66.4%
Standard error 8.37 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Wo-Chien: 176-208 (47 - 55.6%) -- 74.2% chance to 2HKO
10
Koraidon
FightingDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
2,435.902
39.3%
Standard error 1.71 points
▾
252+ Atk Orichalcum Pulse Koraidon Scale Shot (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 167-202 (34.9 - 42.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
11
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
507.703
45.2%
Standard error 3.77 points
▾
252+ SpA Pixie Plate Arceus-Fairy Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 70-83 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
12
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
390.928
45.7%
Standard error 4.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 492-582 (102.9 - 121.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
13
Deoxys-Attack
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
200.613
50.7%
Standard error 6.03 points
▾
0- Atk Deoxys-Attack Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 232-274 (48.5 - 57.3%) -- 93.4% chance to 2HKO
14
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
27.764
62.3%
Standard error 9.20 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Crunch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 523-616 (109.4 - 128.8%) -- guaranteed OHKO
15
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,499.455
33.8%
Standard error 2.11 points
▾
252+ Atk Ho-Oh Dual Wingbeat (2 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 118-141 (24.6 - 29.4%) -- 99.9% chance to 4HKO
16
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
175.895
50.5%
Standard error 6.51 points
▾
Ditto vs. Lunala: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
17
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,030.12
34.5%
Standard error 2.56 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 204-242 (42.6 - 50.6%) -- 2% chance to 2HKO
18
Arceus-Ghost
Ghost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
159.985
51.2%
Standard error 6.80 points
▾
252+ SpA Spooky Plate Arceus-Ghost Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 282-332 (58.9 - 69.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
19
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
598.217
37.5%
Standard error 3.41 points
▾
+1 252+ SpA Eternatus Meteor Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 80-94 (16.7 - 19.6%) -- guaranteed 6HKO
20
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
271.315
43.9%
Standard error 5.17 points
▾
252+ Atk Ting-Lu Payback (100 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 354-416 (74 - 87%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
21
Arceus-Electric
Electric
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
230.873
45.1%
Standard error 5.61 points
▾
252+ SpA Zap Plate Arceus-Electric Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 70-83 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
22
Arceus-Water
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
304.486
40.9%
Standard error 4.86 points
▾
252+ SpA Splash Plate Arceus-Water Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 70-83 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
23
Tyranitar
RockDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
141.275
49.1%
Standard error 7.22 points
▾
252+ Atk Tyranitar Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 392-464 (82 - 97%) -- 25% chance to OHKO after sandstorm damage
24
Blissey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
317.314
33.2%
Standard error 4.55 points
▾
0- SpA Blissey Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 56-68 (11.7 - 14.2%) -- possible 8HKO
25
Clodsire
PoisonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
181.116
38.2%
Standard error 6.15 points
▾
252+ Atk Clodsire Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 69-81 (14.4 - 16.9%) -- possible 6HKO
26
Arceus-Flying
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
43.743
51.1%
Standard error 10.68 points
▾
252+ SpA Sky Plate Arceus-Flying Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 70-83 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
27
Flutter Mane
GhostFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
107.54
40.3%
Standard error 8.11 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Flutter Mane Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 306-360 (64 - 75.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
28
Rayquaza
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
120.194
34.6%
Standard error 7.11 points
▾
252+ Atk Rayquaza Dragon Ascent vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 132-156 (27.6 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
29
Terapagos
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
299.394
22.3%
Standard error 4.15 points
▾
0- SpA Terapagos Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 14-17 (2.9 - 3.5%)
30
Giratina
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
79.391
33.8%
Standard error 7.27 points
▾
252+ Atk Giratina Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 362-428 (75.7 - 89.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #5 with 30.93% usage. Sorted by conservative score.