Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Arcanine-Hisui
FireRock
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
68.932
78.9%
Standard error 6.86 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Arcanine-Hisui Head Smash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 710-836 (167.4 - 197.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Conkeldurr
Fighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
39.468
75.7%
Standard error 6.82 points
▾
252+ Atk Conkeldurr Ice Punch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 182-216 (42.9 - 50.9%) -- 3.1% chance to 2HKO
03
Heatran
FireSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.521
80.7%
Standard error 8.14 points
▾
252+ SpA Heatran Magma Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 135-159 (31.8 - 37.5%) -- 0.4% chance to 2HKO after trapping damage
04
Skarmory
SteelFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
144.495
68.7%
Standard error 6.53 points
▾
252+ Atk Mandibuzz Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Skarmory: 64-76 (19.1 - 22.7%) -- possible 5HKO
05
Gardevoir
PsychicFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.185
75.5%
Standard error 8.93 points
▾
252+ SpA Gardevoir Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 248-294 (58.4 - 69.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Tinkaton
FairySteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
109.092
68.6%
Standard error 7.58 points
▾
252+ Atk Mandibuzz Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Tinkaton: 47-56 (12.5 - 14.9%) -- possible 7HKO
07
Weavile
DarkIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
61.391
68.2%
Standard error 8.24 points
▾
252+ Atk Weavile Triple Axel (120 BP) (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 396-470 (93.3 - 110.8%) -- 67% chance to OHKO
08
Clodsire
PoisonGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
43.144
61.2%
Standard error 7.42 points
▾
252+ Atk Mandibuzz Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Clodsire: 109-130 (23.4 - 28%) -- 88.8% chance to 4HKO
09
Keldeo
WaterFighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
66.441
66.8%
Standard error 9.99 points
▾
252+ SpA Keldeo Secret Sword vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 145-172 (34.1 - 40.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
10
Toxapex
PoisonWater
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
51.403
63.5%
Standard error 9.46 points
▾
252+ Atk Mandibuzz Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Toxapex: 60-72 (19.7 - 23.6%) -- possible 5HKO
11
Latios
DragonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
182.795
46.4%
Standard error 6.36 points
▾
252+ SpA Soul Dew Latios Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 208-246 (49 - 58%) -- 97.7% chance to 2HKO
12
Hydrapple
GrassDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
124
49.5%
Standard error 7.64 points
▾
252+ SpA Hydrapple Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 165-195 (38.9 - 45.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
13
Slither Wing
BugFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
36.43
50.9%
Standard error 8.28 points
▾
252+ Atk Slither Wing Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 211-250 (49.7 - 58.9%) -- 99.6% chance to 2HKO
14
Hydreigon
DarkDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.823
58.7%
Standard error 10.31 points
▾
252+ SpA Hydreigon Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 169-199 (39.8 - 46.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
15
Sinistcha
GrassGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
25.758
53.7%
Standard error 9.82 points
▾
252+ SpA Sinistcha Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 51-60 (12 - 14.1%) -- possible 8HKO
16
Fezandipiti
PoisonFairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
47.793
50.2%
Standard error 10.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Fezandipiti Play Rough vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 242-288 (57 - 67.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
17
Excadrill
GroundSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
162.074
28.0%
Standard error 6.05 points
▾
252+ Atk Mold Breaker Excadrill Rock Blast (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 180-216 (42.4 - 50.9%) -- 0.1% chance to 2HKO
18
Lokix
BugDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
101.712
34.8%
Standard error 8.09 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Tinted Lens Lokix Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 210-250 (49.5 - 58.9%) -- 99.6% chance to 2HKO
19
Mandibuzz
DarkFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
63.857
31.7%
Standard error 8.23 points
▾
252+ Atk Mandibuzz Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 54-63 (12.7 - 14.8%) -- possible 7HKO
20
Thundurus
ElectricFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.918
40.3%
Standard error 10.48 points
▾
0- SpA Thundurus Thunderbolt vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 158-188 (37.2 - 44.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
21
Metagross
SteelPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
49.949
28.3%
Standard error 8.88 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Metagross Explosion vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 442-520 (104.2 - 122.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
22
Slowking
WaterPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
73.904
10.5%
Standard error 5.01 points
▾
252+ SpA Slowking Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Mandibuzz: 136-160 (32 - 37.7%) -- 92.4% chance to 3HKO
23
Donphan
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
60.929
12.5%
Standard error 5.95 points
▾
252+ Atk Donphan Head Smash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 326-384 (76.8 - 90.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
24
Hippowdon
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
48.864
15.8%
Standard error 7.36 points
▾
252+ Atk Hippowdon Stone Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 208-246 (49 - 58%) -- 97.7% chance to 2HKO
25
Scizor
BugSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.619
13.1%
Standard error 6.94 points
▾
252+ Atk Scizor Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Mandibuzz: 138-163 (32.5 - 38.4%) -- 98.6% chance to 3HKO
Ranked #3 with 26.09% usage. Sorted by conservative score.