Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
411.731
82.0%
Standard error 1.89 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Play Rough vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 458-542 (103.1 - 122%) -- guaranteed OHKO
02
Marshadow
FightingGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
183.862
68.8%
Standard error 3.42 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 356-422 (80.1 - 95%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
147.189
67.2%
Standard error 3.87 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Dark Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy: 65-77 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
04
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
239.623
63.1%
Standard error 3.12 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 160-190 (36 - 42.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
05
Kyogre-Primal
Water
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
138.949
58.4%
Standard error 4.18 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark in Heavy Rain: 328-387 (73.8 - 87.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Shaymin-Sky
GrassFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
20.21
76.9%
Standard error 9.37 points
▾
252+ SpA Shaymin-Sky Seed Flare vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
07
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
105.825
57.9%
Standard error 4.80 points
▾
252+ SpA Dread Plate Arceus-Dark Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
08
Arceus-Dark
Dark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
139.025
45.5%
Standard error 4.22 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Dark Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 65-77 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
09
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
489.155
36.2%
Standard error 2.17 points
▾
252+ Atk Ho-Oh Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 184-217 (41.4 - 48.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
10
Zygarde
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
282.719
38.1%
Standard error 2.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Zygarde Thousand Arrows vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 115-136 (25.9 - 30.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
11
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
360.453
36.1%
Standard error 2.53 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 237-279 (53.3 - 62.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Garganacl
Rock
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
67.306
48.2%
Standard error 6.09 points
▾
0 Def Garganacl Body Press vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 124-148 (27.9 - 33.3%) -- 0.1% chance to 3HKO
13
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
59.373
49.4%
Standard error 6.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Sacred Sword vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 232-274 (52.2 - 61.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
14
Lunala
PsychicGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
93.248
42.0%
Standard error 5.11 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 150-178 (33.7 - 40%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
15
Arceus-Ground
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
143.919
33.9%
Standard error 3.95 points
▾
252+ SpA Earth Plate Arceus-Ground Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
16
Yveltal
DarkFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
496.023
22.1%
Standard error 1.86 points
▾
0- Atk Life Orb Yveltal U-turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 130-153 (29.2 - 34.4%) -- 4.8% chance to 3HKO
17
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
257.662
20.7%
Standard error 2.52 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 123-145 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
18
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
208.046
19.2%
Standard error 2.73 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Flip Turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 64-76 (14.4 - 17.1%) -- possible 6HKO
19
Pheromosa
BugFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
51.823
33.2%
Standard error 6.54 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Pheromosa High Jump Kick vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 624-734 (140.5 - 165.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
20
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
47.997
34.5%
Standard error 6.86 points
▾
Chansey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Arceus-Dark: 100-100 (22.5 - 22.5%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
21
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
38.83
34.3%
Standard error 7.62 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 148-175 (33.3 - 39.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
22
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
84.948
21.3%
Standard error 4.44 points
▾
Ditto vs. Arceus-Dark: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
23
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
163.889
10.9%
Standard error 2.43 points
▾
252+ SpA Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 169-199 (38 - 44.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
24
Tyranitar-Mega
RockDark
SOFT CHECK
46.145
19.4%
Standard error 5.83 points
25
Mewtwo-Mega-Y
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.616
31.3%
Standard error 9.97 points
▾
252+ SpA Mewtwo-Mega-Y Focus Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 248-292 (55.8 - 65.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
26
Deoxys-Speed
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.239
7.6%
Standard error 4.98 points
▾
252+ SpA Deoxys-Speed Icy Wind vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Dark: 34-41 (7.6 - 9.2%)
27
Giratina
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.112
21.2%
Standard error 9.12 points
▾
252+ Atk Giratina Dragon Tail vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 76-91 (17.1 - 20.4%) -- possible 5HKO
Ranked #13 with 12.19% usage. Sorted by conservative score.