Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Zygarde
DragonGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
1,731.812
79.5%
Standard error 1.68 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Zygarde: 174-205 (41.4 - 48.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
02
Arceus-Ground
Ground
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
398.616
84.6%
Standard error 3.12 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Arceus-Ground in Harsh Sunshine: 229-271 (51.5 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
878.695
72.8%
Standard error 2.57 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Giratina-Origin in Harsh Sunshine: 134-158 (26.5 - 31.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
04
Yveltal
DarkFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
1,217.124
61.1%
Standard error 2.42 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Dark Aura Yveltal Dark Pulse vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 192-227 (47.5 - 56.1%) -- 82.8% chance to 2HKO
05
Shaymin-Sky
GrassFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
92.551
77.3%
Standard error 7.46 points
▾
252+ SpA Shaymin-Sky Seed Flare vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 157-186 (38.8 - 46%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
06
Rayquaza
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
152.332
69.5%
Standard error 6.27 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Rayquaza Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 266-314 (65.8 - 77.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Giratina
GhostDragon
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
181.872
66.2%
Standard error 5.87 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Giratina: 175-207 (34.7 - 41%) -- 63.5% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
08
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
550.084
56.4%
Standard error 3.64 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 128-152 (31.6 - 37.6%) -- 89.7% chance to 3HKO
09
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
315.292
59.1%
Standard error 4.78 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Arceus in Harsh Sunshine: 229-271 (51.5 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
10
Salamence-Mega
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
138.646
65.9%
Standard error 6.89 points
▾
252+ Atk Aerilate Salamence-Mega Double-Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 186-220 (46 - 54.4%) -- 55.9% chance to 2HKO
11
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,532.514
46.7%
Standard error 2.21 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal in Heavy Rain: 1596-1876 (395 - 464.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Arceus-Dark
Dark
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
389.342
55.2%
Standard error 4.31 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Arceus-Dark in Harsh Sunshine: 229-271 (51.5 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,109.857
48.2%
Standard error 2.59 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 366-432 (90.5 - 106.9%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO
14
Deoxys-Attack
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
122.555
66.4%
Standard error 7.26 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Deoxys-Attack Psycho Boost vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 321-380 (79.4 - 94%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Chi-Yu
DarkFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
87.007
70.3%
Standard error 8.42 points
▾
252+ SpA Beads of Ruin Chi-Yu Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal in Harsh Sunshine: 186-219 (46 - 54.2%) -- 51.6% chance to 2HKO
16
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
542.831
50.7%
Standard error 3.68 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 195-231 (48.2 - 57.1%) -- 91.8% chance to 2HKO
17
Calyrex-Ice
PsychicIce
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
157.26
60.4%
Standard error 6.59 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Calyrex-Ice in Harsh Sunshine: 428-506 (105.9 - 125.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
18
Marshadow
FightingGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
714.066
46.3%
Standard error 3.21 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 139-165 (34.4 - 40.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
19
Lunala
PsychicGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
158.666
59.8%
Standard error 6.64 points
▾
+1 252+ SpA Lunala Meteor Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 173-204 (42.8 - 50.4%) -- 1.2% chance to 2HKO
20
Terapagos
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
55.527
66.4%
Standard error 8.77 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Heat Crash (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Terapagos in Harsh Sunshine: 331-391 (86.1 - 101.8%) -- 12.5% chance to OHKO
21
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,688.866
35.6%
Standard error 2.01 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 159-188 (39.3 - 46.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
22
Mewtwo
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
101.379
58.8%
Standard error 8.29 points
▾
252+ SpA Mewtwo Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 190-224 (47 - 55.4%) -- 73.4% chance to 2HKO
23
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
225.072
48.0%
Standard error 5.76 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Icicle Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 127-151 (31.4 - 37.3%) -- 83.4% chance to 3HKO
24
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
168.513
51.2%
Standard error 6.63 points
▾
Ditto vs. Groudon-Primal: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
25
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
435.992
36.1%
Standard error 3.97 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Fairy Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 158-186 (39.1 - 46%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
26
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
526.067
33.7%
Standard error 3.54 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Body Slam vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 47-56 (11.6 - 13.8%) -- possible 8HKO
27
Kyogre
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
161.05
43.6%
Standard error 6.34 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal in Rain: 1392-1636 (344.5 - 404.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO
28
Melmetal
Steel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
220.236
40.7%
Standard error 5.66 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Melmetal Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 256-302 (63.3 - 74.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
29
Dondozo
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
339.858
33.7%
Standard error 4.41 points
▾
252+ Atk Dondozo Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 134-158 (33.1 - 39.1%) -- 99.8% chance to 3HKO
30
Basculegion
WaterGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
40.438
59.0%
Standard error 10.91 points
▾
252+ Atk Adaptability Basculegion Last Respects vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 72-86 (17.8 - 21.2%) -- possible 5HKO
Ranked #1 with 62.59% usage. Sorted by conservative score.