Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Arceus-Ground
Ground
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
506.355
85.7%
Standard error 1.56 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Arceus-Ground in Harsh Sunshine: 229-271 (51.5 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Zygarde
DragonGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
1,733.429
80.6%
Standard error 0.95 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Zygarde: 174-205 (41.4 - 48.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
03
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
925.883
72.5%
Standard error 1.47 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Giratina-Origin in Harsh Sunshine: 134-158 (26.5 - 31.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
04
Rayquaza
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
109.316
73.3%
Standard error 4.23 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Rayquaza Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 266-314 (65.8 - 77.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
05
Salamence-Mega
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
218.185
65.9%
Standard error 3.21 points
▾
252+ Atk Aerilate Salamence-Mega Double-Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 186-220 (46 - 54.4%) -- 55.9% chance to 2HKO
06
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
403.501
62.5%
Standard error 2.41 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Arceus in Harsh Sunshine: 229-271 (51.5 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Yveltal
DarkFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
1,098.771
58.1%
Standard error 1.49 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Dark Aura Yveltal Dark Pulse vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 192-227 (47.5 - 56.1%) -- 82.8% chance to 2HKO
08
Deoxys-Attack
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
135.658
67.5%
Standard error 4.02 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Deoxys-Attack Psycho Boost vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 321-380 (79.4 - 94%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Shaymin-Sky
GrassFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
62.089
73.6%
Standard error 5.60 points
▾
252+ SpA Shaymin-Sky Seed Flare vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 157-186 (38.8 - 46%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
10
Giratina
GhostDragon
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
226.656
63.3%
Standard error 3.20 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Giratina: 175-207 (34.7 - 41%) -- 63.5% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
11
Lunala
PsychicGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
267.005
61.1%
Standard error 2.98 points
▾
+1 252+ SpA Lunala Meteor Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 173-204 (42.8 - 50.4%) -- 1.2% chance to 2HKO
12
Arceus-Dark
Dark
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
360.453
59.1%
Standard error 2.59 points
▾
0- SpA Groudon-Primal Overheat vs. 252 HP / 0 SpD Arceus-Dark in Harsh Sunshine: 229-271 (51.5 - 61%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
549.6
57.2%
Standard error 2.11 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 128-152 (31.6 - 37.6%) -- 89.7% chance to 3HKO
14
Mewtwo-Mega-Y
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
137.085
62.9%
Standard error 4.13 points
▾
252+ SpA Mewtwo-Mega-Y Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 226-268 (55.9 - 66.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,697.643
48.8%
Standard error 1.21 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal in Heavy Rain: 1596-1876 (395 - 464.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
16
Chi-Yu
DarkFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
67.556
65.3%
Standard error 5.79 points
▾
252+ SpA Beads of Ruin Chi-Yu Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal in Harsh Sunshine: 186-219 (46 - 54.2%) -- 51.6% chance to 2HKO
17
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,109.384
47.5%
Standard error 1.50 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 366-432 (90.5 - 106.9%) -- 43.8% chance to OHKO
18
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
622.366
47.4%
Standard error 2.00 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 195-231 (48.2 - 57.1%) -- 91.8% chance to 2HKO
19
Calyrex-Ice
PsychicIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
133.517
53.0%
Standard error 4.32 points
▾
252+ Atk Calyrex-Ice High Horsepower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 180-214 (44.5 - 52.9%) -- 26.6% chance to 2HKO
20
Marshadow
FightingGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
570.859
43.5%
Standard error 2.08 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 139-165 (34.4 - 40.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
21
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
257.012
47.6%
Standard error 3.12 points
▾
Ditto vs. Groudon-Primal: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
22
Mewtwo
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
96.435
54.9%
Standard error 5.07 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Mewtwo Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 247-291 (61.1 - 72%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
23
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
1,551.125
39.2%
Standard error 1.24 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 159-188 (39.3 - 46.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
24
Kyurem-Black
DragonIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
129.616
47.8%
Standard error 4.39 points
▾
252+ Atk Kyurem-Black Icicle Spear (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 111-135 (27.4 - 33.4%) -- 0.1% chance to 3HKO
25
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
182.462
44.7%
Standard error 3.68 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Icicle Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 127-151 (31.4 - 37.3%) -- 83.4% chance to 3HKO
26
Lugia
PsychicFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
117.143
48.4%
Standard error 4.62 points
▾
252+ SpA Lugia Aeroblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 109-129 (26.9 - 31.9%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
27
Dondozo
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
292.385
36.2%
Standard error 2.81 points
▾
0 Def Dondozo Body Press vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 44-52 (10.8 - 12.8%) -- possible 8HKO
28
Smeargle
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
156.586
39.1%
Standard error 3.90 points
▾
252+ Atk Smeargle Rapid Spin vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 24-28 (5.9 - 6.9%)
29
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
430.977
32.4%
Standard error 2.26 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Fairy Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Groudon-Primal: 158-186 (39.1 - 46%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
30
Garganacl
Rock
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
261.024
35.0%
Standard error 2.95 points
▾
252+ Atk Garganacl Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Groudon-Primal: 134-158 (33.1 - 39.1%) -- 99.8% chance to 3HKO
Ranked #1 with 62.15% usage. Sorted by conservative score.