Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Yveltal
DarkFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
560.209
60.1%
Standard error 2.07 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Yveltal Oblivion Wing vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Marshadow: 291-346 (75.7 - 90.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
81.797
67.6%
Standard error 5.17 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Icicle Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 231-273 (60.1 - 71%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
206.832
60.4%
Standard error 3.40 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Marshadow: 195-231 (50.7 - 60.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
570.859
54.6%
Standard error 2.08 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Heat Crash (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow in Harsh Sunshine: 498-586 (129.6 - 152.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
05
Zygarde
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
604.263
54.1%
Standard error 2.03 points
▾
252+ Atk Zygarde Thousand Arrows vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 162-192 (42.1 - 50%) -- 0.4% chance to 2HKO
06
Melmetal
Steel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
85.26
62.0%
Standard error 5.26 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Melmetal: 236-278 (49.7 - 58.6%) -- 98.4% chance to 2HKO
07
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
173.09
56.0%
Standard error 3.77 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Arceus-Fairy: 123-145 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
08
Garganacl
Rock
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
52.704
63.2%
Standard error 6.64 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Garganacl: 252-296 (62.3 - 73.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
09
Marshadow
FightingGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
257.305
48.4%
Standard error 3.12 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 462-546 (120.3 - 142.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
10
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
522.92
44.0%
Standard error 2.17 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Play Rough vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 648-764 (168.7 - 198.9%) -- guaranteed OHKO
11
Salamence-Mega
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
99.88
49.1%
Standard error 5.00 points
▾
252+ Atk Aerilate Salamence-Mega Double-Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 674-794 (175.5 - 206.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
12
Dondozo
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
130.356
45.6%
Standard error 4.36 points
▾
252+ Atk Dondozo Wave Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 216-255 (56.2 - 66.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
444.178
31.2%
Standard error 2.20 points
▾
252+ Atk Ho-Oh Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 518-612 (134.8 - 159.3%) -- guaranteed OHKO
14
Arceus
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
336.168
30.7%
Standard error 2.52 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Shadow Claw vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 250-294 (65.1 - 76.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Lunala
PsychicGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
136.56
36.4%
Standard error 4.12 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 360-426 (93.7 - 110.9%) -- 62.5% chance to OHKO
16
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
205.749
32.2%
Standard error 3.26 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 97-115 (25.2 - 29.9%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
17
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
245.817
30.3%
Standard error 2.93 points
▾
252+ SpA Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Photon Geyser vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Marshadow: 254-300 (66.1 - 78.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
18
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
231.369
30.1%
Standard error 3.02 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Marshadow in Heavy Rain: 399-469 (103.9 - 122.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
19
Arceus-Ground
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
175.299
30.5%
Standard error 3.48 points
▾
0- Atk Earth Plate Arceus-Ground Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 163-193 (42.4 - 50.2%) -- 0.4% chance to 2HKO
20
Calyrex-Ice
PsychicIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
93.832
35.8%
Standard error 4.95 points
▾
252+ Atk Calyrex-Ice Glacial Lance vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 310-366 (80.7 - 95.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
21
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
108.678
33.0%
Standard error 4.51 points
▾
Ditto vs. Marshadow: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
22
Arceus-Dark
Dark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
183.862
24.1%
Standard error 3.15 points
▾
0- Atk Dread Plate Arceus-Dark Foul Play vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 160-190 (41.6 - 49.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
23
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
128.923
20.4%
Standard error 3.55 points
▾
0- Atk Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 360-426 (93.7 - 110.9%) -- 62.5% chance to OHKO
24
Deoxys-Attack
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
68.453
25.2%
Standard error 5.25 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Deoxys-Attack Psycho Boost vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Marshadow: 642-759 (167.1 - 197.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
25
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
49.94
21.5%
Standard error 5.81 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 208-246 (54.1 - 64%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
26
Terapagos
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
36.269
25.9%
Standard error 7.27 points
▾
252+ SpA Terapagos Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Marshadow: 54-64 (14 - 16.6%) -- possible 6HKO
27
Pheromosa
BugFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
72.085
11.7%
Standard error 3.79 points
▾
252+ Atk Choice Band Pheromosa Triple Axel (120 BP) (3 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 271-321 (70.5 - 83.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
28
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
83.278
6.6%
Standard error 2.72 points
▾
29
Mewtwo-Mega-Y
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
43.997
17.8%
Standard error 5.77 points
▾
252+ SpA Mewtwo-Mega-Y Psystrike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 588-692 (153.1 - 180.2%) -- guaranteed OHKO
30
Kingambit
DarkSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
25.859
27.4%
Standard error 8.77 points
▾
252+ Atk Black Glasses Kingambit Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Marshadow: 261-307 (67.9 - 79.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
Ranked #7 with 25.46% usage. Sorted by conservative score.