Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Marshadow
FightingGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
274.341
60.4%
Standard error 5.09 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 356-422 (80.1 - 95%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Dondozo
Water
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
83.787
72.8%
Standard error 8.36 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Double-Edge vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Dondozo: 173-204 (34.3 - 40.4%) -- 44.9% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
03
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
309.093
55.8%
Standard error 4.86 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 408-482 (91.8 - 108.5%) -- 50% chance to OHKO
04
Zygarde
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
181.363
53.1%
Standard error 6.39 points
▾
252+ Atk Zygarde Thousand Arrows vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 115-136 (25.9 - 30.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
05
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
315.292
37.4%
Standard error 4.71 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 237-279 (53.3 - 62.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Arceus
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
99.088
48.5%
Standard error 8.67 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Arceus Double-Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 226-266 (50.9 - 59.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
158.445
39.3%
Standard error 6.66 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 123-145 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
08
Yveltal
DarkFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
255.908
29.4%
Standard error 4.92 points
▾
0- Atk Life Orb Dark Aura Yveltal Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 177-211 (39.8 - 47.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
09
Arceus-Dark
Dark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
76.091
46.6%
Standard error 9.79 points
▾
252+ SpA Dread Plate Arceus-Dark Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
10
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
44.141
49.1%
Standard error 10.57 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Sacred Sword vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 232-274 (52.2 - 61.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
11
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
121.309
32.7%
Standard error 7.22 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus in Heavy Rain: 328-387 (73.8 - 87.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.28
47.9%
Standard error 11.09 points
▾
Ditto vs. Arceus: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
13
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
107.784
34.6%
Standard error 7.83 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 160-190 (36 - 42.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
14
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
109.006
29.1%
Standard error 7.38 points
▾
252+ SpA Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 169-199 (38 - 44.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
15
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
131.891
21.9%
Standard error 6.21 points
▾
252+ Atk Ho-Oh Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 184-217 (41.4 - 48.8%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
16
Arceus-Ground
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
94.448
27.5%
Standard error 7.80 points
▾
252+ SpA Earth Plate Arceus-Ground Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
17
Lunala
PsychicGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
44.971
30.6%
Standard error 9.18 points
▾
+1 252+ SpA Lunala Meteor Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 142-168 (31.9 - 37.8%) -- 93.9% chance to 3HKO
18
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
68.519
22.0%
Standard error 7.06 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 69-82 (15.5 - 18.4%) -- possible 6HKO
19
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
25.907
24.0%
Standard error 8.39 points
▾
252+ SpA Pixie Plate Arceus-Fairy Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
Ranked #10 with 16.60% usage. Sorted by conservative score.