Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
135.767
66.1%
Standard error 4.06 points
▾
+1 252+ SpA Lunala Meteor Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 142-168 (31.9 - 37.8%) -- 93.9% chance to 3HKO
02
Marshadow
FightingGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
136.56
62.7%
Standard error 4.14 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 422-500 (88.2 - 104.6%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO
03
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
197.306
59.3%
Standard error 3.50 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Play Rough vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 148-175 (30.9 - 36.6%) -- 68.3% chance to 3HKO
04
Kingambit
DarkSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
39.727
65.1%
Standard error 7.56 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Kingambit: 95-112 (23.5 - 27.7%) -- 80.1% chance to 4HKO
05
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
89.851
54.9%
Standard error 5.25 points
▾
252+ SpA Pixie Plate Arceus-Fairy Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 70-83 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
06
Arceus-Dark
Dark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
93.248
52.0%
Standard error 5.17 points
▾
252+ SpA Dread Plate Arceus-Dark Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 282-332 (58.9 - 69.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Yveltal
DarkFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
267.153
43.0%
Standard error 3.03 points
▾
0- Atk Life Orb Dark Aura Yveltal Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 455-538 (95.1 - 112.5%) -- 68.8% chance to OHKO
08
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
289.731
38.8%
Standard error 2.86 points
▾
252+ Atk Ho-Oh Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 118-140 (24.6 - 29.2%) -- 99.9% chance to 4HKO
09
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
54.344
53.0%
Standard error 6.77 points
▾
Ditto vs. Lunala: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
10
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
79.712
46.7%
Standard error 5.59 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala in Heavy Rain: 177-209 (37 - 43.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
11
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
267.005
35.9%
Standard error 2.94 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Heat Crash (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala in Harsh Sunshine: 228-268 (47.6 - 56%) -- 82.4% chance to 2HKO
12
Chansey
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
35.645
57.3%
Standard error 8.28 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Psyshock vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Eviolite Chansey: 510-601 (72.4 - 85.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
13
Arceus-Ground
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
101.738
41.9%
Standard error 4.89 points
▾
0- Atk Earth Plate Arceus-Ground Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 75-88 (15.6 - 18.4%) -- possible 6HKO
14
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
109.18
35.6%
Standard error 4.58 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 79-93 (16.5 - 19.4%) -- possible 6HKO
15
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
124.092
31.8%
Standard error 4.18 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Shadow Shield Lunala: 87-102 (18.2 - 21.3%) -- possible 5HKO
16
Zygarde
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
200.548
24.9%
Standard error 3.05 points
▾
252+ Atk Zygarde Thousand Arrows vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 74-87 (15.4 - 18.2%) -- possible 6HKO
17
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
31.502
39.2%
Standard error 8.70 points
▾
252+ Atk Ferrothorn Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 204-242 (42.6 - 50.6%) -- 2% chance to 2HKO
18
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.605
20.0%
Standard error 4.43 points
▾
0- Atk Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 330-390 (69 - 81.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
19
Garganacl
Rock
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
29.2
36.9%
Standard error 8.93 points
▾
252+ Atk Garganacl Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 55-65 (11.5 - 13.5%) -- possible 8HKO
20
Dondozo
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
31.946
2.1%
Standard error 2.53 points
▾
252+ Atk Dondozo Wave Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 99-117 (20.7 - 24.4%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
21
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
34.965
15.9%
Standard error 6.18 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Shadow Shield Lunala: 178-210 (37.2 - 43.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
Ranked #15 with 10.81% usage. Sorted by conservative score.