Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
390.579
82.6%
Standard error 3.28 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 408-482 (91.8 - 108.5%) -- 56.3% chance to OHKO
02
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
212.457
72.5%
Standard error 5.22 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 246-290 (55.4 - 65.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
166.129
68.0%
Standard error 6.17 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Sludge Bomb vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy: 222-264 (50 - 59.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
435.992
56.1%
Standard error 4.11 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 237-279 (53.3 - 62.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
05
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
320.238
56.9%
Standard error 4.75 points
▾
252+ SpA Pixie Plate Arceus-Fairy Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ho-Oh: 54-63 (12.9 - 15.1%) -- possible 7HKO
06
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.907
71.5%
Standard error 8.87 points
▾
252+ SpA Pixie Plate Arceus-Fairy Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
07
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
27.257
60.2%
Standard error 9.38 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Fairy Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ferrothorn: 67-79 (19 - 22.4%) -- possible 6HKO
08
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
110.051
52.8%
Standard error 8.08 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy in Heavy Rain: 328-387 (73.8 - 87.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Arceus-Ground
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.004
48.2%
Standard error 7.87 points
▾
252+ SpA Earth Plate Arceus-Ground Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
10
Marshadow
FightingGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
202.058
33.7%
Standard error 5.72 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 165-195 (37.1 - 43.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
11
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
49.919
48.4%
Standard error 10.00 points
▾
252+ SpA Pixie Plate Arceus-Fairy Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy: 129-153 (29 - 34.4%) -- 3.1% chance to 3HKO
12
Lunala
PsychicGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
48.47
48.4%
Standard error 10.10 points
▾
+1 252+ SpA Lunala Meteor Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy: 142-168 (31.9 - 37.8%) -- 93.9% chance to 3HKO
13
Zygarde
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
245.665
24.7%
Standard error 4.71 points
▾
252+ Atk Zygarde Thousand Arrows vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 115-136 (25.9 - 30.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
14
Yveltal
DarkFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
522.814
13.2%
Standard error 2.54 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Yveltal Oblivion Wing vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy: 121-142 (27.2 - 31.9%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
15
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
28.889
38.7%
Standard error 9.06 points
▾
Chansey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Arceus-Fairy: 100-100 (22.5 - 22.5%) -- guaranteed 5HKO
16
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
72.606
36.6%
Standard error 9.61 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Icicle Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 165-195 (37.1 - 43.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
17
Arceus-Dark
Dark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
139.394
16.9%
Standard error 5.39 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Dark Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Arceus-Fairy: 65-77 (14.6 - 17.3%) -- possible 6HKO
18
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
152.035
12.3%
Standard error 4.60 points
▾
0- Atk Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 127-151 (28.6 - 34%) -- 0.9% chance to 3HKO
19
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
48.704
13.3%
Standard error 6.86 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Flip Turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 64-76 (14.4 - 17.1%) -- possible 6HKO
20
Dondozo
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.49
13.7%
Standard error 7.25 points
▾
252+ Atk Dondozo Liquidation vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Fairy: 109-129 (24.5 - 29%) -- 99.5% chance to 4HKO
Ranked #14 with 12.05% usage. Sorted by conservative score.