Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Arceus-Dark
Dark
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
257.662
77.3%
Standard error 2.61 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 123-145 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
02
Yveltal
DarkFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
556.468
69.6%
Standard error 1.95 points
▾
0- Atk Life Orb Dark Aura Yveltal Foul Play vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 287-339 (72.1 - 85.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Marshadow
FightingGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
245.817
66.9%
Standard error 3.00 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 235-279 (59 - 70.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
98.195
69.1%
Standard error 4.66 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Crunch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 222-262 (55.7 - 65.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
05
Lunala
PsychicGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
109.18
64.1%
Standard error 4.59 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Moongeist Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 190-225 (47.7 - 56.5%) -- 85.9% chance to 2HKO
06
Kingambit
DarkSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
76.978
66.4%
Standard error 5.39 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kingambit: 164-194 (40.5 - 48%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
07
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
198.479
55.5%
Standard error 3.53 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 123-145 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
08
Calyrex-Ice
PsychicIce
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
48.231
66.9%
Standard error 6.78 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Calyrex-Ice: 204-240 (50.4 - 59.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
313.218
47.3%
Standard error 2.82 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 118-139 (29.6 - 34.9%) -- 13.7% chance to 3HKO
10
Zygarde
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
324.516
46.7%
Standard error 2.77 points
▾
252+ Atk Zygarde Thousand Arrows vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 163-195 (40.9 - 48.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
11
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
70.443
59.0%
Standard error 5.86 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 76-90 (21.5 - 25.5%) -- possible 5HKO
12
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
478.63
42.6%
Standard error 2.26 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 195-230 (48.9 - 57.7%) -- 96.1% chance to 2HKO
13
Melmetal
Steel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
56.328
59.2%
Standard error 6.55 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Melmetal: 142-168 (29.9 - 35.4%) -- 25% chance to 3HKO
14
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
549.6
40.3%
Standard error 2.09 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 337-397 (84.6 - 99.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Mewtwo
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
41.59
61.8%
Standard error 7.53 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Mewtwo Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 164-193 (41.2 - 48.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
16
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
196.486
45.8%
Standard error 3.55 points
▾
0- Atk Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 181-216 (45.4 - 54.2%) -- 46.9% chance to 2HKO
17
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
194.477
45.2%
Standard error 3.57 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Necrozma-Dusk-Mane in Heavy Rain: 351-414 (88.1 - 104%) -- 25% chance to OHKO
18
Dondozo
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
122.506
47.4%
Standard error 4.51 points
▾
252+ Atk Dondozo Wave Crash vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 147-174 (36.9 - 43.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
19
Arceus-Ground
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
181.074
43.4%
Standard error 3.68 points
▾
252+ SpA Earth Plate Arceus-Ground Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 207-244 (52 - 61.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
20
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
114.476
46.7%
Standard error 4.66 points
▾
Ditto vs. Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
21
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
335.978
30.7%
Standard error 2.52 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 145-172 (36.4 - 43.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
22
Mewtwo-Mega-Y
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.439
41.9%
Standard error 5.50 points
▾
252+ SpA Mewtwo-Mega-Y Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 183-216 (45.9 - 54.2%) -- 50% chance to 2HKO
23
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
415.578
26.2%
Standard error 2.16 points
▾
252+ Atk Ho-Oh Sacred Fire vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 220-261 (55.2 - 65.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
24
Salamence-Mega
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
81.371
36.9%
Standard error 5.35 points
▾
252+ Atk Salamence-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 159-187 (39.9 - 46.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
25
Deoxys-Attack
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
64.977
38.3%
Standard error 6.03 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Deoxys-Attack Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 164-193 (41.2 - 48.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
26
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
207.612
22.3%
Standard error 2.89 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Fairy Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 103-123 (25.8 - 30.9%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
27
Garganacl
Rock
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
118.647
25.5%
Standard error 4.00 points
▾
252+ Atk Garganacl Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 123-145 (30.9 - 36.4%) -- 63.9% chance to 3HKO
28
Lugia
PsychicFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
22.52
50.7%
Standard error 10.54 points
▾
252+ SpA Lugia Aeroblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 47-56 (11.8 - 14%) -- possible 8HKO
29
Giratina
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
30.849
42.6%
Standard error 8.90 points
▾
0- SpA Giratina Hex (65 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 64-78 (16 - 19.5%) -- possible 6HKO
30
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
153.79
12.4%
Standard error 2.66 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Knock Off vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 67-79 (16.8 - 19.8%) -- guaranteed 6HKO
Ranked #6 with 26.55% usage. Sorted by conservative score.