Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Yveltal
DarkFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
581.343
69.9%
Standard error 3.28 points
▾
0- Atk Life Orb Dark Aura Yveltal Foul Play vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 287-339 (72.1 - 85.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Arceus-Dark
Dark
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
227.943
75.0%
Standard error 4.84 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus-Dark: 123-145 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
03
Marshadow
FightingGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
315.311
70.7%
Standard error 4.38 points
▾
252+ Atk Marshadow Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 235-279 (59 - 70.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Orthworm
Steel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.026
82.5%
Standard error 8.10 points
▾
252+ SpA Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Photon Geyser vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Orthworm: 84-99 (24.4 - 28.7%) -- 98.6% chance to 4HKO
05
Chien-Pao
DarkIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
113.112
74.8%
Standard error 6.94 points
▾
252+ Atk Sword of Ruin Chien-Pao Crunch vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 222-262 (55.7 - 65.8%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Kingambit
DarkSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
22.392
73.7%
Standard error 9.30 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Kingambit: 164-194 (40.5 - 48%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
07
Lunala
PsychicGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
60.774
68.0%
Standard error 8.44 points
▾
252+ SpA Lunala Moongeist Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 190-225 (47.7 - 56.5%) -- 85.9% chance to 2HKO
08
Arceus
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
158.445
59.0%
Standard error 6.71 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Arceus: 123-145 (27.7 - 32.6%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
09
Zacian-Crowned
FairySteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
611.132
44.2%
Standard error 3.46 points
▾
+1 252+ Atk Zacian-Crowned Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 195-230 (48.9 - 57.7%) -- 96.1% chance to 2HKO
10
Zygarde
DragonGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
317.16
49.3%
Standard error 4.78 points
▾
252+ Atk Zygarde Thousand Arrows vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 163-195 (40.9 - 48.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
11
Calyrex-Ice
PsychicIce
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
59.057
64.3%
Standard error 8.55 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Sunsteel Strike vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Calyrex-Ice: 204-240 (50.4 - 59.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Giratina-Origin
GhostDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
181.409
54.9%
Standard error 6.29 points
▾
0- Atk Griseous Core Giratina-Origin Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 181-216 (45.4 - 54.2%) -- 46.9% chance to 2HKO
13
Ferrothorn
GrassSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
52.255
66.4%
Standard error 9.24 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ferrothorn: 76-90 (21.5 - 25.5%) -- possible 5HKO
14
Necrozma-Dusk-Mane
PsychicSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
319.933
48.1%
Standard error 4.73 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 118-139 (29.6 - 34.9%) -- 13.7% chance to 3HKO
15
Groudon-Primal
GroundFire
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
550.084
41.1%
Standard error 3.61 points
▾
252+ Atk Groudon-Primal Precipice Blades vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 337-397 (84.6 - 99.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
16
Melmetal
Steel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
60.519
59.3%
Standard error 8.88 points
▾
0- Atk Necrozma-Dusk-Mane Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Melmetal: 142-168 (29.9 - 35.4%) -- 25% chance to 3HKO
17
Mewtwo
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
45.829
63.6%
Standard error 10.01 points
▾
252+ SpA Mewtwo Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 126-148 (31.6 - 37.1%) -- 86.3% chance to 3HKO
18
Kyogre-Primal
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
208.151
45.0%
Standard error 5.92 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre-Primal Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Necrozma-Dusk-Mane in Heavy Rain: 351-414 (88.1 - 104%) -- 25% chance to OHKO
19
Arceus-Ground
Ground
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
146.805
45.2%
Standard error 7.06 points
▾
252+ SpA Earth Plate Arceus-Ground Judgment vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 207-244 (52 - 61.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
20
Dondozo
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
127.924
46.4%
Standard error 7.49 points
▾
252+ Atk Dondozo Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 123-145 (30.9 - 36.4%) -- 63.9% chance to 3HKO
21
Mewtwo-Mega-Y
Psychic
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.477
56.4%
Standard error 10.23 points
▾
252+ SpA Mewtwo-Mega-Y Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 183-216 (45.9 - 54.2%) -- 50% chance to 2HKO
22
Ditto
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
83.445
52.9%
Standard error 9.38 points
▾
Ditto vs. Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 0-0 (0 - 0%)
23
Mewtwo-Mega-X
PsychicFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
46.925
54.2%
Standard error 10.28 points
▾
252+ Atk Mewtwo-Mega-X Low Kick (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 234-276 (58.7 - 69.3%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
24
Kyogre
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.983
54.4%
Standard error 10.87 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyogre Water Spout (150 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Necrozma-Dusk-Mane in Rain: 306-360 (76.8 - 90.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
25
Ho-Oh
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
314.347
27.9%
Standard error 4.36 points
▾
252+ Atk Ho-Oh Sacred Fire vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 220-261 (55.2 - 65.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
26
Eternatus
PoisonDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
363.193
24.5%
Standard error 3.83 points
▾
252+ SpA Eternatus Fire Blast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 145-172 (36.4 - 43.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
27
Deoxys-Attack
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
60.504
43.3%
Standard error 8.88 points
▾
252+ SpA Life Orb Deoxys-Attack Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 164-193 (41.2 - 48.4%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
28
Arceus-Fairy
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
212.457
21.9%
Standard error 4.85 points
▾
252+ SpA Arceus-Fairy Earth Power vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 103-123 (25.8 - 30.9%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
29
Chansey
Normal
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
29.61
36.0%
Standard error 8.82 points
▾
Chansey Seismic Toss vs. 252 HP Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 100-100 (25.1 - 25.1%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
30
Salamence-Mega
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
24.327
34.7%
Standard error 9.65 points
▾
252+ Atk Salamence-Mega Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Prism Armor Necrozma-Dusk-Mane: 159-187 (39.9 - 46.9%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
Ranked #6 with 28.41% usage. Sorted by conservative score.