Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Dragonite
DragonFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
37.639
73.8%
Standard error 7.17 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Ice Spinner vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 226-268 (62 - 73.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Kingambit
DarkSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
45.542
64.8%
Standard error 7.08 points
▾
252+ Atk Ogerpon Superpower vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Kingambit: 344-408 (85.1 - 100.9%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO
03
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
55.228
58.1%
Standard error 6.64 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Make It Rain vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon: 162-192 (44.5 - 52.7%) -- 23% chance to 2HKO
04
Raging Bolt
ElectricDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
26.57
64.7%
Standard error 9.27 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon: 178-211 (48.9 - 57.9%) -- 97.7% chance to 2HKO
05
Kyurem
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
25.595
58.1%
Standard error 9.75 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyurem Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon: 240-284 (65.9 - 78%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Zamazenta
Fighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
37.809
51.4%
Standard error 8.13 points
▾
252+ Atk Zamazenta Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 235-277 (64.5 - 76%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
07
Pecharunt
PoisonGhost
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
52.206
57.5%
Standard error 9.66 points
▾
252+ Atk Ogerpon Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Pecharunt: 112-134 (29.4 - 35.2%) -- 17.3% chance to 3HKO
08
Toxapex
PoisonWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.607
50.9%
Standard error 11.01 points
▾
0- Atk Toxapex Poison Jab vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 122-146 (33.5 - 40.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
09
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
88.622
41.9%
Standard error 8.96 points
▾
252+ Atk Corviknight Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 380-450 (104.3 - 123.6%) -- guaranteed OHKO
10
Dragapult
DragonGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
20.306
42.1%
Standard error 10.96 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragapult Dragon Darts (2 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 198-234 (54.3 - 64.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
11
Great Tusk
GroundFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
34.826
28.2%
Standard error 7.62 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 252-297 (69.2 - 81.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
12
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
62.343
27.8%
Standard error 7.79 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 108-128 (29.6 - 35.1%) -- 18.2% chance to 3HKO
13
Cresselia
Psychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.292
33.1%
Standard error 9.75 points
▾
252+ SpA Cresselia Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon: 112-132 (30.7 - 36.2%) -- 54% chance to 3HKO
14
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
49.146
11.7%
Standard error 4.58 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring U-turn vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 220-260 (60.4 - 71.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
15
Clefable
Fairy
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
27.528
24.9%
Standard error 8.25 points
▾
252+ SpA Clefable Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Ogerpon: 102-121 (28 - 33.2%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
16
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
24.542
4.4%
Standard error 4.16 points
▾
252+ Atk Ting-Lu Payback (100 BP) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 186-219 (51 - 60.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
17
Samurott-Hisui
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
23.761
20.6%
Standard error 8.29 points
▾
252+ Atk Sharpness Samurott-Hisui Ceaseless Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Ogerpon: 178-210 (48.9 - 57.6%) -- 95.7% chance to 2HKO
Ranked #30 with 7.30% usage. Sorted by conservative score.