Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Blissey
Normal
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
29.009
75.2%
Standard error 8.02 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Blissey: 142-168 (19.8 - 23.5%) -- possible 5HKO
02
Great Tusk
GroundFighting
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
174.985
56.5%
Standard error 6.45 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 255-300 (58.7 - 69.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
03
Kyurem
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
81.546
66.0%
Standard error 9.06 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyurem Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Raging Bolt: 362-428 (79.7 - 94.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
04
Iron Treads
GroundSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
51.347
66.6%
Standard error 9.28 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Iron Treads: 109-129 (28.3 - 33.5%) -- 0.2% chance to 3HKO
05
Ting-Lu
DarkGround
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
100.335
55.6%
Standard error 8.57 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Vessel of Ruin Ting-Lu: 153-180 (29.7 - 35%) -- guaranteed 4HKO after Leftovers recovery
06
Cresselia
Psychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
44.732
61.7%
Standard error 10.25 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Cresselia: 154-183 (34.6 - 41.2%) -- 68.1% chance to 3HKO after Leftovers recovery
07
Dragonite
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
96.017
51.8%
Standard error 8.67 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 266-314 (58.5 - 69.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
08
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
96.297
39.4%
Standard error 8.41 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 314-372 (69.1 - 81.9%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
09
Kingambit
DarkSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
95.964
40.1%
Standard error 8.60 points
▾
252+ Atk Kingambit Kowtow Cleave vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 169-201 (37.2 - 44.2%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
10
Raging Bolt
ElectricDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
66.677
47.2%
Standard error 10.57 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Raging Bolt: 378-446 (83.2 - 98.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
11
Zamazenta
Fighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
132.179
32.7%
Standard error 7.03 points
▾
252+ Atk Zamazenta Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 220-261 (48.4 - 57.4%) -- 94.1% chance to 2HKO
12
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.889
43.9%
Standard error 10.61 points
▾
252+ Atk Landorus-Therian Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 422-498 (92.9 - 109.6%) -- 56.3% chance to OHKO
13
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
93.047
34.7%
Standard error 8.52 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Play Rough vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 264-312 (58.1 - 68.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
14
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
105.539
29.9%
Standard error 7.61 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Raging Bolt: 114-135 (25.1 - 29.7%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
15
Ogerpon
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
26.57
28.8%
Standard error 8.79 points
▾
252+ Atk Ogerpon Superpower vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 147-174 (32.3 - 38.3%) -- 97.9% chance to 3HKO
16
Slowking-Galar
PoisonPsychic
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
54.567
23.9%
Standard error 8.15 points
▾
252+ SpA Slowking-Galar Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Raging Bolt: 150-178 (33 - 39.2%) -- 99.9% chance to 3HKO
17
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.512
6.6%
Standard error 4.65 points
▾
252+ Atk Corviknight Brave Bird vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 89-105 (19.6 - 23.1%) -- possible 5HKO
18
Alomomola
Water
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.355
7.8%
Standard error 5.79 points
▾
252+ Atk Alomomola Body Slam vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 77-91 (16.9 - 20%) -- possible 5HKO
19
Samurott-Hisui
WaterDark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
21.232
16.5%
Standard error 8.06 points
▾
252+ Atk Sharpness Samurott-Hisui Ceaseless Edge vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Raging Bolt: 166-196 (36.5 - 43.1%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
Ranked #11 with 14.21% usage. Sorted by conservative score.