Observed target KO or switch rate is upstream p: the fraction of relevant encounters where the target was knocked out or switched out. Standard error is upstream d. The conservative score is p − 4d. These ladder observations do not prove a set-specific counter.
How to read this table
Use encounter count and standard error to judge the sample. Damage estimates below use inferred sets and remain separate from the observed ladder metric.
#
Checker
Encounters
Conservative score
Target KO or switch rate
01
Iron Valiant
FairyFighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
98.413
80.7%
Standard error 6.80 points
▾
252+ SpA Iron Valiant Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 338-398 (77.8 - 91.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
02
Cresselia
Psychic
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
93.036
74.0%
Standard error 6.34 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Knock Off (97.5 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Cresselia: 158-188 (35.5 - 42.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
03
Ogerpon-Wellspring
GrassWater
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
185.833
68.0%
Standard error 5.90 points
▾
252+ Atk Wellspring Mask Ogerpon-Wellspring Power Whip vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 386-456 (88.9 - 105%) -- 31.3% chance to OHKO
04
Walking Wake
WaterDragon
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
65.862
72.0%
Standard error 7.62 points
▾
252+ SpA Choice Specs Walking Wake Surf vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 492-582 (113.3 - 134.1%) -- guaranteed OHKO
05
Kyurem
DragonIce
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
171.674
65.5%
Standard error 6.20 points
▾
252+ SpA Kyurem Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 338-402 (77.8 - 92.6%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
06
Corviknight
FlyingSteel
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
292.908
59.6%
Standard error 4.91 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Corviknight: 153-180 (38.2 - 45%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
07
Enamorus
FairyFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
37.089
70.1%
Standard error 7.52 points
▾
252+ SpA Enamorus Moonblast vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 368-434 (84.7 - 100%) -- 6.3% chance to OHKO
08
Zamazenta
Fighting
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
331.286
56.8%
Standard error 4.69 points
▾
252+ Atk Zamazenta Close Combat vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 160-190 (36.8 - 43.7%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
09
Dondozo
Water
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
122.213
64.4%
Standard error 7.46 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Headlong Rush vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Dondozo: 142-168 (28.1 - 33.3%) -- 0.1% chance to 3HKO
10
Dragapult
DragonGhost
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
188.478
58.5%
Standard error 6.19 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragapult Dragon Darts (2 hits) vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 134-162 (30.8 - 37.3%) -- 85.4% chance to 3HKO
11
Clefable
Fairy
DEFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
118.211
63.3%
Standard error 7.55 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Headlong Rush vs. 252 HP / 252+ Def Clefable: 190-225 (48.2 - 57.1%) -- 44.1% chance to 2HKO after Leftovers recovery
12
Zapdos
ElectricFlying
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
101.024
64.3%
Standard error 8.15 points
▾
252+ SpA Zapdos Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 404-476 (93 - 109.6%) -- 56.3% chance to OHKO
13
Gholdengo
SteelGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
335.62
49.9%
Standard error 4.72 points
▾
252+ SpA Gholdengo Make It Rain vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 229-271 (52.7 - 62.4%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
14
Great Tusk
GroundFighting
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
373.672
47.4%
Standard error 4.45 points
▾
252+ Atk Great Tusk Headlong Rush vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 172-204 (39.6 - 47%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
15
Ogerpon
Grass
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
34.826
62.0%
Standard error 8.23 points
▾
252+ Atk Ogerpon Ivy Cudgel vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 270-318 (62.2 - 73.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
16
Pecharunt
PoisonGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
173.224
53.5%
Standard error 6.42 points
▾
252+ SpA Pecharunt Shadow Ball vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 117-138 (26.9 - 31.7%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
17
Volcarona
BugFire
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
23.061
66.4%
Standard error 9.84 points
▾
252+ SpA Volcarona Giga Drain vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 194-230 (44.7 - 52.9%) -- 27.3% chance to 2HKO
18
Hatterene
PsychicFairy
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
85.701
57.2%
Standard error 9.20 points
▾
252+ SpA Hatterene Dazzling Gleam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 312-368 (71.8 - 84.7%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
19
Moltres
FireFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
63.76
54.8%
Standard error 8.79 points
▾
252+ SpA Moltres Hurricane vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 404-476 (93 - 109.6%) -- 56.3% chance to OHKO
20
Darkrai
Dark
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
92.832
54.1%
Standard error 8.84 points
▾
252+ SpA Darkrai Ice Beam vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 234-276 (53.9 - 63.5%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
21
Iron Moth
FirePoison
OFFENSIVE CHECK
View matchup
41.919
60.6%
Standard error 10.61 points
▾
252+ SpA Iron Moth Overheat vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 258-304 (59.4 - 70%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
22
Gliscor
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
381.067
33.4%
Standard error 4.16 points
▾
252+ Atk Gliscor Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 115-136 (26.4 - 31.3%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
23
Dragonite
DragonFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
251.63
35.2%
Standard error 5.18 points
▾
252+ Atk Dragonite Ice Spinner vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 156-184 (35.9 - 42.3%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
24
Raging Bolt
ElectricDragon
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
174.985
38.7%
Standard error 6.35 points
▾
252+ SpA Raging Bolt Draco Meteor vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 255-300 (58.7 - 69.1%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
25
Kingambit
DarkSteel
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
318.758
30.4%
Standard error 4.41 points
▾
252+ Atk Kingambit Iron Head vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 118-139 (27.1 - 32%) -- guaranteed 4HKO
26
Rillaboom
Grass
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
64.769
47.5%
Standard error 8.74 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Rillaboom Wood Hammer vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk in Grassy Terrain: 562-663 (129.4 - 152.7%) -- guaranteed OHKO
27
Tornadus-Therian
Flying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
51.775
51.1%
Standard error 9.78 points
▾
252+ SpA Tornadus-Therian Bleakwind Storm vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 336-396 (77.4 - 91.2%) -- guaranteed 2HKO
28
Ceruledge
FireGhost
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
110.047
42.7%
Standard error 8.05 points
▾
252+ Atk Life Orb Ceruledge Poltergeist vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 199-234 (45.8 - 53.9%) -- 43.4% chance to 2HKO
29
Landorus-Therian
GroundFlying
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
162.973
30.2%
Standard error 6.20 points
▾
0- SpA Landorus-Therian Grass Knot (120 BP) vs. 252 HP / 252+ SpD Great Tusk: 170-202 (39.1 - 46.5%) -- guaranteed 3HKO
30
Garganacl
Rock
SOFT CHECK
View matchup
80.908
42.1%
Standard error 9.45 points
▾
252+ Atk Garganacl Earthquake vs. 252 HP / 0 Def Great Tusk: 79-94 (18.2 - 21.6%) -- possible 5HKO
Ranked #1 with 32.33% usage. Sorted by conservative score.